.png&width=300)
DET
@
8:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 8:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.00×
Wind 1 mph out
80°F
retractable
-7
11 mph · in
93°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
11 mph · in
93°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
11 mph · in
93°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
11 mph · in
93°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
11 mph · in
93°F
12:10a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.10
80°F, wind 1 mph N (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 70 | 🟡 B | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.301 | 90.9 | 13.0% | 30.4% vs RHP | 394 | 20.9% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.192 | 90.6 | 14.3% | 23.4% vs RHP | 394 | 17.1% | 33.3% | 16.7% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | · | 43 | 0.234 | 91.0 | 11.2% | 27.3% vs RHP | 377 | 14.8% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 52 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.160 | 91.3 | 13.1% | 13.6% vs RHP | 389 | 9.9% | 25.0% | 12.3% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
James Outman | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 146 | 0.195 | 86.0 | 2.6% | 22.2% vs RHP | 418 | 8.3% | 33.3% | 12.4% | 3 |
| 6 |
|
Hao-Yu Lee | 37 | ⚪ D | +900 | ❄ COLD | 168 | 0.129 | 87.8 | 10.9% | 12.5% vs RHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Colt Keith | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.081 | 88.9 | 8.5% | 10.0% vs RHP | 380 | 3.3% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 33 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 183 | 0.124 | 88.0 | 8.7% | 6.6% vs RHP | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 221 | 0.076 | 84.8 | 2.6% | 6.2% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 22 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.266 | 90.4 | 8.6% | 25.0% vs LHP | 390 | 22.9% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🔥 HOT | 100 | 0.163 | 87.1 | 6.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 367 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 12.6% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 48 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.144 | 88.3 | 7.9% | 44.4% vs LHP | 410 | 11.4% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Cam Smith | 45 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.138 | 89.5 | 9.2% | 15.4% vs LHP | 415 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 33 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.124 | 86.1 | 5.3% | 14.3% vs LHP | 423 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 32 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 190 | 0.115 | 87.8 | 4.7% | 8.7% | 380 | 4.7% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 0 |