2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BAL
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 9:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.95× Wind 5 mph slight_out 75°F retractable
+7
7 mph · out
87°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
7 mph · out
87°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
7 mph · out
87°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
7 mph · out
87°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
+7
7 mph · out
87°F
1:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.95

75°F, wind 5 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Brandon Young
Brandon Young RHP
0.97 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.34 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 70 🟡 B +370 · 18 0.287 93.2 11.5% 30.6% vs RHP 403 14.8% 33.3% 28.0% 33
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 63 🔵 C+ +400 🌧️ COOL 35 0.262 90.7 11.6% 37.8% vs RHP 385 20.0% 11.1% 17.7% 27
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 48 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 102 0.186 90.4 8.6% 18.2% vs RHP 410 18.9% 0.0% 11.0% 38
4 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 44 ⚪ D +220 · 128 0.157 87.5 9.9% 14.6% vs RHP 390 14.3% 0.0% 10.4% 0
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.162 91.7 7.8% 20.7% vs RHP 385 9.1% 11.1% 9.9% 30
6 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 41 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 144 0.181 · 8.6% 33.3% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 5
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 170 0.117 87.8 6.5% 17.5% vs RHP 390 11.5% 18.2% 7.8% 40
8 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 175 0.123 87.9 6.5% 9.5% vs RHP 387 7.4% 9.1% 6.9% 47
Logan Gilbert
Logan Gilbert RHP
1.48 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.54 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 66 🔵 C+ +320 · 25 0.220 95.0 12.0% 27.7% vs RHP 398 19.7% 38.5% 25.4% 39
2 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 58 🟠 C +575 🌤️ WARM 49 0.180 86.5 12.1% 24.1% vs RHP 418 18.8% 27.3% 22.4% 28
3 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 61 0.184 91.4 10.9% 13.0% vs RHP 407 15.8% 33.3% 17.8% 21
4 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 57 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 62 0.213 91.9 12.2% 26.5% vs RHP 400 14.6% 11.1% 16.1% 25
5 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 54 🟠 C +525 · 72 0.215 90.0 10.4% 16.7% vs RHP 400 13.5% 11.1% 14.5% 30
6 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 53 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 77 0.200 89.3 10.0% 16.7% vs RHP 390 18.8% 7.7% 13.5% 40
7 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.157 89.4 9.6% 24.1% vs RHP 391 12.2% 100.0% 13.0% 6
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 32 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 188 0.095 89.7 7.2% 5.3% vs RHP 386 4.2% 7.7% 6.6% 37
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 32 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 194 0.127 86.8 6.9% 11.5% vs RHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 33
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