2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
LAA
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Chase Field

First pitch 9:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.94× Wind 9 mph out 109°F retractable
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
11:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
12:40a
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
1:40a
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.32

109°F, wind 9 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
2.08 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.13 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 72 🟡 B +305 · 11 0.214 91.4 17.9% 27.1% vs RHP 405 17.9% 16.7% 21.1% 28
2 Zach Neto Zach Neto 65 🔵 C+ +425 · 30 0.203 89.5 13.2% 20.8% vs RHP 400 16.4% 25.0% 21.8% 23
3 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.163 87.4 11.5% 11.8% vs RHP 386 10.0% 0.0% 9.2% 30
4 Jo Adell Jo Adell 49 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 99 0.140 90.5 11.2% 10.8% vs RHP 415 11.9% 8.3% 7.8% 37
5 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 47 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 109 0.107 87.4 13.8% 13.0% vs RHP 411 3.4% 12.5% 7.6% 23
6 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 36 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 173 0.114 87.0 6.6% 13.6% vs RHP 371 7.1% 0.0% 8.4% 14
Reid Detmers
Reid Detmers LHP
0.75 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.59 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 62 🔵 C+ +500 🌤️ WARM 37 0.262 92.0 9.8% 11.1% vs LHP 409 17.6% 38.5% 19.6% 40
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 50 🟠 C +700 🌧️ COOL 90 0.206 89.7 8.6% 20.0% vs LHP 395 14.3% 23.1% 19.8% 37
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 45 ⚪ D +350 · 118 0.189 91.0 8.8% 28.6% vs LHP 416 11.3% 8.3% 12.2% 42
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 37 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 169 0.174 85.2 6.9% 25.0% vs LHP 400 10.9% 0.0% 10.8% 34
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 34 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 179 0.168 86.7 5.4% 35.7% vs LHP 399 8.0% 0.0% 11.6% 20
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 32 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 191 0.127 88.7 6.7% 11.8% 396 9.1% 0.0% 7.8% 3
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 25 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 213 0.101 87.5 4.6% 7.1% vs LHP 379 5.4% 7.7% 6.4% 38
🏟️
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