2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:40p
ATH
Sutter Health Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Sutter Health Park

First pitch 9:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.14× Wind unknown unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.14

Unknown stadium. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller RHP
0.68 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.43 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 75 🟡 B +210 · 4 0.242 94.2 10.9% 46.4% vs RHP 409 23.9% 46.2% 39.2% 34
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 72 🟡 B +235 · 12 0.265 91.7 9.8% 22.4% vs RHP 415 21.9% 25.0% 26.6% 46
3 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 66 🔵 C+ +350 · 24 0.235 89.9 8.4% 16.7% vs RHP 403 15.2% 30.8% 28.6% 37
4 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 60 🔵 C+ +475 🌧️ COOL 44 0.204 89.0 7.2% 23.1% vs RHP 399 20.8% 23.1% 22.3% 35
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 49 ⚪ D +500 · 97 0.175 89.9 7.5% 18.2% vs RHP 404 6.1% 9.1% 12.8% 29
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 40 ⚪ D +400 🌤️ WARM 151 0.109 89.3 6.5% 22.7% vs RHP 399 3.5% 12.5% 10.2% 22
7 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 33 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 186 0.071 86.4 2.7% 10.3% vs RHP 373 11.1% 20.0% 8.6% 27
8 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 31 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 196 0.097 84.1 3.5% 12.0% vs RHP 368 4.0% 0.0% 7.4% 11
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins RHP
0.99 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.20 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 68 🔵 C+ +280 🌧️ COOL 22 0.271 90.0 8.3% 26.0% vs RHP 393 16.7% 25.0% 24.9% 35
2 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 51 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 83 0.184 86.4 6.8% 18.4% vs RHP 391 11.9% 16.7% 11.7% 35
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 51 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 87 0.171 90.0 6.0% 21.6% vs RHP 380 16.7% 20.0% 13.2% 30
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 50 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 88 0.157 91.1 7.5% 13.3% vs RHP 416 12.1% 15.4% 8.8% 37
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 167 0.101 89.5 6.8% 11.5% vs RHP 408 6.9% 0.0% 8.9% 11
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 30 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 197 0.072 85.8 4.1% 8.0% vs RHP 389 3.1% 7.7% 8.4% 43
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 214 0.056 83.6 2.1% 10.0% vs RHP 410 3.4% 0.0% 6.4% 35
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