2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SD
@ 7:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Busch Stadium

First pitch 7:45p · roof open
Park 0.84× Wind 14 mph in 80°F open
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
11:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.68

80°F, wind 14 mph WNW (in) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Michael King RHP
1.13 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.24 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 66 🔵 C+ +950 · 26 0.269 94.7 12.0% 32.5% vs RHP 408 20.7% 25.0% 25.1% 41
2 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 59 🟠 C +950 · 47 0.286 95.1 12.8% 16.7% vs RHP 439 0.0% 0.0% 21.8% 25
3 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 58 🟠 C +850 🌤️ WARM 51 0.199 91.6 11.0% 25.0% vs RHP 405 19.1% 50.0% 20.4% 43
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 38 ⚪ D · · 161 0.175 89.7 8.5% 18.5% vs RHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 38
5 Nathan Church Nathan Church 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 174 0.140 85.8 9.3% 25.0% vs RHP 387 7.3% 0.0% 8.5% 14
6 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.135 90.5 8.9% 17.0% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 30
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 217 0.082 87.1 5.8% 10.5% vs RHP 379 3.1% 0.0% 7.0% 34
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante RHP
1.16 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.40 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rodolfo Duran Rodolfo Duran 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 64 0.286 89.1 11.1% 42.9% vs RHP 402 0.0% 0.0% 30.0% 13
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 51 🟠 C +950 · 84 0.237 89.2 7.5% 32.4% vs RHP 394 12.9% 16.7% 20.2% 32
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 45 ⚪ D +1000 · 119 0.182 89.7 7.8% 25.7% vs RHP 396 16.9% 15.4% 11.3% 43
4 Ty France Ty France 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.191 91.3 8.6% 29.4% vs RHP 395 12.5% 0.0% 12.3% 18
5 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 39 ⚪ D · · 155 0.140 90.0 8.0% 11.6% vs RHP 405 10.9% 15.4% 7.4% 42
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 187 0.123 87.9 6.8% 20.6% vs RHP 395 11.1% 0.0% 7.7% 22
🏟️
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