9
HRs allowed
11.4%
HR rate (pool)
20.4%
Overall HR/FB
5.72
FIP
4.33
xFIP
+1.39
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Susceptible
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
74.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.6 EV · 397 ft
max EV allowed 109.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kodai Senga.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
37.9%
83.5
30.1°
5
+2.5
Forkball Offspeed
23.5%
80.3
10.8°
0
-0.3
Cutter Hard
20.0%
81.0
15.1°
4
+4.3
Sweeper Breaking
8.2%
84.4
15.0°
1
+2.8
Slider Breaking
6.3%
78.1
26.4°
1
-1.2
Sinker Hard
3.8%
94.2
19.7°
1
+2.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups79
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate11.4%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB20.4% 89
HR/9—
FIP5.72 91
xFIP4.33
FIP − xFIP+1.39 95
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed74.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 37.9% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle30.1°
HRs allowed5
Pitches281
Forkball
Offspeed · 23.5% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.3 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches174
Cutter
Hard · 20.0% usage
+4.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle15.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches148
Sweeper
Breaking · 8.2% usage
+2.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle15.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches61
Slider
Breaking · 6.3% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.1 mph
Avg launch angle26.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches47
Sinker
Hard · 3.8% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against94.2 mph
Avg launch angle19.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches28
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kodai Senga.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.6 EV · 397 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-23
8
2
106.8
2026-06-22
9
0
—
2026-06-16
8
2
106.9
2026-04-26
9
1
109.1
2026-04-25
9
0
—
2026-04-17
9
3
106.4
2026-04-11
9
1
109.6
2026-04-05
9
0
107.9
2026-03-31
9
0
107.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kodai Senga isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.