2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 6 HRs · 2 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 4 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 5 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 6 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 9 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Matt Olson 3 HRs · 12 Kyle Stowers 3 HRs 1 James Wood 6 HRs · 2 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 4 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 5 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 6 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 9 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Matt Olson 3 HRs · 12 Kyle Stowers 3 HRs
Kodai Senga

Kodai Senga

RHP NYM
79 matchups scored · 9 game days
9
HRs allowed
11.4%
HR rate (pool)
20.4%
Overall HR/FB
5.72
FIP
4.33
xFIP
+1.39
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
89
Meltdown Risk Susceptible
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
74.0%
74.0%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 103.6 EV · 397 ft max EV allowed 109.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-11 · 1 HR 2026-04-17 · 3 HR 2026-04-26 · 1 HR 2026-06-16 · 2 HR 2026-06-23 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 4 HR ↑ 30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kodai Senga.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 37.9% 83.5 30.1° 5 +2.5
Forkball Offspeed 23.5% 80.3 10.8° 0 -0.3
Cutter Hard 20.0% 81.0 15.1° 4 +4.3
Sweeper Breaking 8.2% 84.4 15.0° 1 +2.8
Slider Breaking 6.3% 78.1 26.4° 1 -1.2
Sinker Hard 3.8% 94.2 19.7° 1 +2.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups79
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate11.4%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB20.4% 89
HR/9
FIP5.72 91
xFIP4.33
FIP − xFIP+1.39 95
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed74.0%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 37.9% usage
+2.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle30.1°
HRs allowed5
Pitches281
Forkball
Offspeed · 23.5% usage
-0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.3 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches174
Cutter
Hard · 20.0% usage
+4.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle15.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches148
Sweeper
Breaking · 8.2% usage
+2.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle15.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches61
Slider
Breaking · 6.3% usage
-1.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.1 mph
Avg launch angle26.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches47
Sinker
Hard · 3.8% usage
+2.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against94.2 mph
Avg launch angle19.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches28
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kodai Senga.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.6 EV · 397 ft 4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-23 Pete Crow-Armstrong #11 70 Citi Field 101.9 27.0° 409
2026-06-23 Dansby Swanson #119 44 Citi Field 104.4 22.0° 380
2026-06-16 Sal Stewart #31 65 Great American Ball Park 106.9 26.0° 410
2026-06-16 Spencer Steer #36 63 Great American Ball Park 102.9 35.0° 392
2026-04-26 Hunter Goodman #38 65 Citi Field 104.9 31.0° 390.0
2026-04-17 Ian Happ #30 66 Wrigley Field 106.4 33.0° 411.0
2026-04-17 Moisés Ballesteros #39 64 Wrigley Field 96.3 32.0° 365.0
2026-04-17 Nico Hoerner #181 30 Wrigley Field 99.1 29.0° 392.0
2026-04-11 Tyler Soderstrom #97 37 Citi Field 109.6 25.0° 420.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-23 Citi Field 8 2 106.8
2026-06-22 Citi Field 9 0
2026-06-16 Great American Ball Park 8 2 106.9
2026-04-26 Citi Field 9 1 109.1
2026-04-25 Citi Field 9 0
2026-04-17 Wrigley Field 9 3 106.4
2026-04-11 Citi Field 9 1 109.6
2026-04-05 Oracle Park 9 0 107.9
2026-03-31 Busch Stadium 9 0 107.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kodai Senga isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Kodai Senga's full pitcher profile is waiting

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THR 3.3.100 · build 606

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