10
HRs allowed
11.4%
HR rate (pool)
21.9%
Overall HR/FB
5.91
FIP
4.4
xFIP
+1.51
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
14.8%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.9 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 109.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kodai Senga.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
42.6%
84.2
28.9°
6
+1.4
Forkball Offspeed
26.7%
78.4
8.5°
1
-0.2
Cutter Hard
13.2%
81.0
13.2°
1
+1.6
Sweeper Breaking
8.1%
82.4
22.9°
1
+1.7
Slider Breaking
5.9%
83.1
22.9°
4
+6.3
Sinker Hard
3.2%
87.2
28.8°
1
+2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups88
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate11.4%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB21.9% 89
HR/9—
FIP5.91 94
xFIP4.4
FIP − xFIP+1.51 97
Barrel% allowed14.8%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Fastball
Hard · 42.6% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle28.9°
HRs allowed6
Pitches481
Forkball
Offspeed · 26.7% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.4 mph
Avg launch angle8.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches302
Cutter
Hard · 13.2% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle13.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches149
Sweeper
Breaking · 8.1% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle22.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches92
Slider
Breaking · 5.9% usage
+6.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle22.9°
HRs allowed4
Pitches67
Sinker
Hard · 3.2% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle28.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kodai Senga.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.9 EV · 399 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-31
9
1
106.5
2026-06-23
8
2
106.8
2026-06-22
9
0
—
2026-06-16
8
2
106.9
2026-04-26
9
1
109.1
2026-04-25
9
0
—
2026-04-17
9
3
106.4
2026-04-11
9
1
109.6
2026-04-05
9
0
107.9
2026-03-31
9
0
107.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kodai Senga isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Kodai Senga isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
53
5
9%
9
3
33%
8
2
25%
9
0
0%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Kodai Senga
How many home runs has Kodai Senga allowed this season?
Kodai Senga has allowed 10 home runs across 10 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Kodai Senga?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Kodai Senga include Kyle Stowers (2), Agustin Ramirez (1), Bobby Witt Jr. (1) and 18 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.