MIA
@
6:40p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.06×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
77°F
open
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.06
77°F, wind 4 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.327 | 93.0 | 11.5% | 42.1% vs RHP | 403 | 26.2% | 15.4% | 25.3% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.240 | 90.3 | 9.1% | 36.4% vs RHP | 403 | 19.4% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 104 | 0.168 | 90.2 | 6.7% | 19.4% vs RHP | 391 | 9.4% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 123 | 0.155 | 86.4 | 6.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 398 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 11.7% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Bryson Stott | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.157 | 89.6 | 6.6% | 10.9% vs RHP | 392 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.135 | 89.9 | 5.1% | 15.4% vs RHP | 376 | 10.8% | 16.7% | 7.7% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.104 | 87.2 | 2.9% | 7.7% vs RHP | 382 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 23 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Esteury Ruiz | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.263 | 88.8 | 7.0% | 22.2% vs LHP | 381 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 30.4% | 9 |
| 2 |
|
Liam Hicks | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 108 | 0.201 | 85.6 | 5.4% | 12.5% vs LHP | 376 | 18.5% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Connor Norby | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.146 | 87.1 | 7.2% | 11.8% vs LHP | 396 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 5 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.137 | 90.3 | 6.7% | 7.7% vs LHP | 400 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 46 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 165 | 0.143 | 87.3 | 6.0% | 28.6% vs LHP | 396 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 200 | 0.098 | 86.5 | 4.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 374 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.106 | 87.1 | 3.0% | 22.2% vs LHP | 369 | 4.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 29 |