2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIA
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.06× Wind 4 mph slight_out 77°F open
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.06

77°F, wind 4 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips RHP
0.37 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.89 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 73 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 9 0.327 93.0 11.5% 42.1% vs RHP 403 26.2% 15.4% 25.3% 29
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.240 90.3 9.1% 36.4% vs RHP 403 19.4% 15.4% 20.2% 34
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 48 ⚪ D · · 104 0.168 90.2 6.7% 19.4% vs RHP 391 9.4% 23.1% 16.8% 36
4 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 123 0.155 86.4 6.7% 16.7% vs RHP 398 13.3% 20.0% 11.7% 15
5 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.157 89.6 6.6% 10.9% vs RHP 392 9.7% 0.0% 8.3% 32
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.135 89.9 5.1% 15.4% vs RHP 376 10.8% 16.7% 7.7% 39
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 208 0.104 87.2 2.9% 7.7% vs RHP 382 4.1% 0.0% 6.6% 23
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo LHP
0.99 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.28 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Esteury Ruiz Esteury Ruiz 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.263 88.8 7.0% 22.2% vs LHP 381 12.5% 25.0% 30.4% 9
2 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 108 0.201 85.6 5.4% 12.5% vs LHP 376 18.5% 10.0% 15.6% 39
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.146 87.1 7.2% 11.8% vs LHP 396 6.8% 0.0% 11.7% 5
4 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 157 0.137 90.3 6.7% 7.7% vs LHP 400 5.7% 8.3% 8.2% 46
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 165 0.143 87.3 6.0% 28.6% vs LHP 396 7.1% 0.0% 11.2% 34
6 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 200 0.098 86.5 4.7% 12.5% vs LHP 374 5.7% 0.0% 10.2% 23
7 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.106 87.1 3.0% 22.2% vs LHP 369 4.9% 11.1% 9.7% 29
🏟️
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