KC
@
6:45p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 1.01×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
80°F
open
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11
80°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.254 | 95.7 | 13.5% | 37.5% vs RHP | 408 | 29.6% | 33.3% | 32.6% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.231 | 88.9 | 8.9% | 24.0% vs RHP | 398 | 17.6% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Dylan Crews | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.129 | 92.0 | 8.6% | 25.0% vs RHP | 409 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 14.9% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.223 | 90.1 | 8.7% | 27.3% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.6% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 122 | 0.167 | 87.9 | 7.5% | 12.2% vs RHP | 403 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Jacob Young | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.153 | 89.4 | 7.0% | 21.9% vs RHP | 391 | 10.4% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Drew Millas | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.083 | 82.5 | 5.3% | 15.4% vs RHP | 398 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 7 |
| 8 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.024 | 84.7 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 22 |
4 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 66 | 0.168 | 93.6 | 12.8% | 30.0% vs LHP | 414 | 9.7% | 8.3% | 17.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Starling Marte | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.079 | 91.6 | 12.3% | 0.0% vs LHP | 441 | 4.3% | 25.0% | 12.1% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Nick Loftin | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.138 | 86.8 | 8.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 381 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Lane Thomas ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.095 | 86.9 | 6.5% | 6.2% vs LHP | 416 | 11.4% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 23 |