2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
KC
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 12 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 1.01× Wind 4 mph slight_out 80°F open
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11

80°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha RHP
1.09 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.13 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 75 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 5 0.254 95.7 13.5% 37.5% vs RHP 408 29.6% 33.3% 32.6% 29
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.231 88.9 8.9% 24.0% vs RHP 398 17.6% 20.0% 20.1% 31
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.129 92.0 8.6% 25.0% vs RHP 409 25.0% 33.3% 14.9% 36
4 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.223 90.1 8.7% 27.3% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 19.6% 33
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 45 ⚪ D · · 122 0.167 87.9 7.5% 12.2% vs RHP 403 9.4% 8.3% 9.9% 38
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.153 89.4 7.0% 21.9% vs RHP 391 10.4% 0.0% 10.0% 23
7 Drew Millas Drew Millas 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 199 0.083 82.5 5.3% 15.4% vs RHP 398 6.2% 0.0% 10.2% 7
8 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 226 0.024 84.7 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 22
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin LHP
1.63 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.83 ·
4 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 56 🟠 C · · 66 0.168 93.6 12.8% 30.0% vs LHP 414 9.7% 8.3% 17.7% 28
2 Starling Marte Starling Marte 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.079 91.6 12.3% 0.0% vs LHP 441 4.3% 25.0% 12.1% 11
3 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.138 86.8 8.0% 0.0% vs LHP 381 5.6% 12.5% 7.5% 23
4 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.095 86.9 6.5% 6.2% vs LHP 416 11.4% 14.3% 8.1% 23
🏟️
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