NYM
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.20×
Wind 3 mph in
79°F
open
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.32
79°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 80 | 🟢 A | +700 | ❄ COLD | 2 | 0.263 | 93.0 | 13.2% | 29.7% vs RHP | 401 | 21.4% | 16.7% | 26.5% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.202 | 89.9 | 12.0% | 25.0% vs RHP | 401 | 14.3% | 12.5% | 24.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 59 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.186 | 94.1 | 10.9% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 53 | 0.127 | 86.2 | 9.9% | 17.0% vs RHP | 391 | 11.6% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 69 | 0.128 | 89.9 | 9.9% | 12.5% vs RHP | 401 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 71 | 0.126 | 91.1 | 9.1% | 8.5% vs RHP | 381 | 8.7% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.093 | 89.2 | 9.0% | 9.1% vs RHP | 415 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 28 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 10 | 0.233 | 89.2 | 11.2% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 18.4% | 0.0% | 24.8% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Jj Bleday | 71 | 🟡 B | +850 | ❄ COLD | 13 | 0.288 | 90.1 | 10.7% | 35.7% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 39.8% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Steer | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.187 | 89.5 | 11.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 393 | 10.4% | 18.2% | 24.6% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 31 | 0.198 | 90.6 | 11.9% | 18.6% vs RHP | 394 | 8.9% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Mclain | 55 | 🟠 C | +1000 | 🔥 HOT | 67 | 0.165 | 88.6 | 10.1% | 10.4% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.0% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 55 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.139 | 90.7 | 10.3% | 15.2% vs RHP | 381 | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.129 | 86.8 | 9.2% | 27.8% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.8% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 124 | 0.116 | 88.7 | 5.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 381 | 4.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 38 |