SF
@
7:15p
ATL
Stadium Conditions
Truist Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.95×
Wind 5 mph out
69°F
open
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
7:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.95
69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 76 | 🟡 B | +325 | · | 3 | 0.300 | 93.5 | 11.8% | 32.6% vs RHP | 409 | 24.6% | 25.0% | 32.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +430 | · | 27 | 0.238 | 92.8 | 13.4% | 26.1% vs RHP | 402 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 20.4% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 48 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 105 | 0.171 | 90.8 | 10.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 409 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 125 | 0.151 | 88.8 | 8.4% | 15.0% vs RHP | 390 | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.158 | 87.0 | 6.6% | 12.8% vs RHP | 390 | 13.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 39 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.143 | 90.6 | 6.1% | 14.3% vs RHP | 374 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.138 | 86.3 | 7.6% | 15.2% vs RHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 18 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 223 | 0.000 | 84.5 | 4.8% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 11 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Bryce Eldridge | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +650 | · | 23 | 0.237 | 92.0 | 11.2% | 19.1% vs RHP | 385 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 27.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +540 | ❄ COLD | 36 | 0.230 | 89.2 | 11.1% | 23.5% vs RHP | 393 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 45 |
| 3 |
|
Willy Adames | 56 | 🟠 C | +540 | · | 65 | 0.195 | 89.0 | 9.5% | 18.4% vs RHP | 385 | 13.6% | 18.2% | 23.1% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Rafael Devers | 54 | 🟠 C | +900 | · | 74 | 0.178 | 91.9 | 9.8% | 17.1% vs RHP | 401 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman | 49 | ⚪ D | +800 | 🔥 HOT | 93 | 0.156 | 88.3 | 8.4% | 17.6% vs RHP | 398 | 7.5% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.132 | 85.4 | 5.2% | 16.7% vs RHP | 393 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 181 | 0.126 | 87.6 | 4.8% | 9.4% vs RHP | 363 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Daniel Susac | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 205 | 0.079 | 85.8 | 6.6% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 24 |