Today · 2026-09-07

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 4.77 HR/FB 18.5% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #4 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Joey Cantillo FIP 4.09 HR/FB 17.3% → #6 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK LAD Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.03 HR/FB 13.5% → #8 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Chase Burns FIP 3.19 HR/FB 19.1% → #9 Pro pick, #10 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-06. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	74	-13.2	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	42	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-06 OffDylan Dodd Exit Velo107.0 mph Angle25.0° Distance371 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○●●	0.0×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.17 IP1202.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Rafael Devers (L) ³	64	-3.7	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ SF · Oracle Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-05 OffZac Thornton Exit Velo101.5 mph Angle33.0° Distance391 ft StadiumCiti Field	●○●●○	0.2×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1268.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Oracle Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind10 mph W Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note79°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ³	63	-10.1	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TOR @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-08-30 OffGabe Speier Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle38.0° Distance405 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○○○○	2.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP1289.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	62	-7.9	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	40	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-06 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo111.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance403 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○●○○●	0.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP3.69 IP1222.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Bryce Harper (L) ²	62	-6.9	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffBryan Woo Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle30.0° Distance388 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○○○○	1.8×	2	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.17 IP1202.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-6.3	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1225.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind6 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-5.9	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1227.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-15 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-3.7	●	LAD Bullpen Proxy CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP4.03 IP1238.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (S) ²	62	-4.4	●	LAD Bullpen Proxy CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs ?HP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP4.03 IP1238.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-13.3	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.73 IP1226.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-6.6	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.73 IP1226.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	61	·	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.12 FIP4.32 IP1231.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+2 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note87°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ²	57	-3.9	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1225.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind6 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-11.1	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) NYM @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.13 IP1265.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-24 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind7 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph S (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	60	·	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.12 FIP4.32 IP1231.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+4 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note87°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-2.3	●	Dylan Cease (RHP) TOR @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP1190.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	55	·	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) AZ @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.74 IP1189.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note87°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ²	54	-8.2	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.60 FIP4.87 IP1070.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-22 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ²	54	-5.5	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ SD · Petco Park	5:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1267.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-52 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind12 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note96°F, wind 12 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ²	54	-6.8	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.60 FIP4.87 IP1070.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-19 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	54	·	●	Troy Melton (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP4.06 IP1306.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (S) ²	53	·	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) AZ @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.74 IP1189.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note87°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	53	-8.1	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.24 IP1308.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind8 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note76°F, wind 8 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-3.4	●	LAD Bullpen Proxy CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP4.03 IP1238.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	56	·	●	MIN Bullpen Proxy MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.34 IP1193.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	52	-8.9	●	Nick Pivetta (RHP) WSH @ SD · Petco Park	5:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.07 FIP4.13 IP1203.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-43 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind12 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note96°F, wind 12 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R) ²	52	-7.4	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TOR @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%6.4% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP1289.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ²	51	-11.2	●	Jonah Tong (RHP) NYM @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP4.17 IP1384.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind7 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph S (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	51	·	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TOR @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP1289.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	50	-9.1	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ SD · Petco Park	5:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1267.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-54 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind12 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-54 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note96°F, wind 12 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.3%

▼ -1.2 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-06

29 HRs

34%

10 caught / 29 HRs

in top 50

#1 Kyle Schwarber

37.1%

🟡

#5 Yordan Alvarez

16.7%

🔵

#15 Pete Crow-Armstrong

24.1%

🔵

#16 Jake Bauers

18.1%

🔵

#24 Ronald Acuña Jr.

20.0%

🟠

#29 Elly De La Cruz

19.9%

🟠

#31 Cj Abrams

17.8%

🟠

#48 Jake Burger

18.8%

🟠

#49 Mickey Moniak

17.5%

🟠

#50 Corey Seager

15.1%

🟠

Missed

Salvador Perez Heriberto Hernández Nolan Arenado Vinnie Pasquantino Kyle Teel +14 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Rafael Devers ×5 Colson Montgomery ×3 Carter Jensen ×2 Corey Seager ×2 Justin Foscue ×2

❄️ Cold

Coby Mayo 0 of 6d Sal Stewart 0 of 6d Tristan Peters 0 of 6d Jeremy Peña 0 of 6d Matt Olson 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.7%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-07

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.