1
HRs allowed
3.7%
HR rate (pool)
9.7%
Overall HR/FB
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
22
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 22th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
3.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed
38.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 106.0 EV · 403 ft
max EV allowed 106.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Nick Pivetta.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
53.7%
83.1
38.7°
1
-1.0
Curveball Breaking
17.8%
85.8
-2.6°
0
+3.3
Sweeper Breaking
13.8%
76.3
22.9°
0
-3.9
Cutter Hard
11.0%
78.4
22.7°
0
-1.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups27
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate3.7%
Pool HR/game day0.33
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB9.7% 22
HR/9—
FIP—
xFIP—
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed3.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed38.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-01
Fastball
Hard · 53.7% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle38.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches190
Curveball
Breaking · 17.8% usage
+3.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.8 mph
Avg launch angle-2.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches63
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.8% usage
-3.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.3 mph
Avg launch angle22.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches49
Cutter
Hard · 11.0% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.4 mph
Avg launch angle22.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Nick Pivetta.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 106.0 EV · 403 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-07
9
0
105.8
2026-04-01
9
0
104.7
2026-03-26
9
1
106.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Nick Pivetta isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Nick Pivetta isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
18
1
6%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Nick Pivetta
How many home runs has Nick Pivetta allowed this season?
Nick Pivetta has allowed 1 home run across 3 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Nick Pivetta?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Nick Pivetta include Hunter Goodman (2), Bobby Witt Jr. (1), Byron Buxton (1) and 18 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.