Today · 2026-06-30

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Shohei Ohtani vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 5.56 HR/FB 21.4% #4 Miguel Vargas vs Trey Gibson FIP 5.65 HR/FB 33.3% #5 Colson Montgomery vs Trey Gibson FIP 5.65 HR/FB 22.2% #6 Pete Alonso vs Erick Fedde FIP 5.61 HR/FB 33.3% #9 Max Muncy vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 5.56 HR/FB 24.6%

📦 STACK Bubba Chandler FIP 4.67 HR/FB 18.4% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #7 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Jeffrey Springs FIP 5.56 HR/FB 21.4% → #3 Shohei Ohtani, #9 Max Muncy

📦 STACK Trey Gibson FIP 5.65 HR/FB 33.3% → #4 Miguel Vargas, #5 Colson Montgomery

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-29. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.6% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	80	-16.8	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle37.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○●○	0.3×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.97 FIP3.95 IP771.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+35 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.9°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note69°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0
2	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁴	79	-12.9	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	26	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%15.4% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffMichael Petersen Exit Velo107.0 mph Angle37.0° Distance442 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●●○●	0.0×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.94 FIP3.91 IP781.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-26 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.4°F Wind2.0 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
3	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	74	-14.5	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffMatt Krook Exit Velo112.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.45 FIP4.80 IP786.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Miguel Vargas (R) ⁴	71	-3.6	●	Trey Gibson (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffLuinder Avila Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance407 ft StadiumRate Field	○●○●○	0.2×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.12 IP755.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+30 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.2°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
5	Colson Montgomery (L) ⁴	70	-11.7	●	Trey Gibson (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	5.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.12 IP755.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.2°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
6	Bryce Harper (L) ³	70	-9.1	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance405 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○●○●	0.0×	1	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.97 FIP3.95 IP771.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+49 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.9°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note69°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0
7	Pete Alonso (R) ³	69	-9.4	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffZack Littell Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●○	0.2×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.34 IP736.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.2°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
8	Ben Rice (L) ²	69	-1.2	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	3.5×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.04 FIP3.96 IP772.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+31 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.4°F Wind3.9 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0
9	Max Muncy (S) ³	69	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls49 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.45 FIP4.80 IP786.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	68	-15.3	●	Mike Burrows (RHP) MIN @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	2.5×	1	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.35 FIP4.83 IP774.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.6°F Wind1.0 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
11	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	66	-2.0	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	○●○○○	0.8×	1	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/90.90 FIP3.62 IP750.8000000000001 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+4 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.4°F Wind3.9 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0
12	Juan Soto (L) ³	66	-13.6	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) NYM @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	3.3×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.16 FIP4.09 IP761.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
13	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	65	-4.9	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffJakob Junis Exit Velo99.9 mph Angle35.0° Distance378 ft StadiumRogers Centre	●●○○○	1.5×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.03 FIP3.94 IP733.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
14	Nick Kurtz (L) ²	65	-16.2	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.05 FIP3.75 IP723.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Jake Bauers (L) ³	65	-8.2	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo109.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance428 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●○○○○	1.0×	1	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.45 FIP5.05 IP733.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-28 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.8°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +1
16	Owen Caissie (L) ⁴	64	-8.4	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffJose Corniell Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle28.0° Distance367 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○○○○	1.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.38 FIP4.82 IP744.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.4°F Wind2.0 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
17	Brandon Lowe (L) ²	64	+0.0	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChase Burns Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance396 ft StadiumPNC Park	●○●○○	0.4×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.18 FIP3.78 IP750.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.9°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note69°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0
18	Paul Goldschmidt (R) ³	63	-4.5	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffTarik Skubal Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance427 ft StadiumComerica Park	●○○○○	1.3×	1	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.04 FIP3.96 IP772.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.4°F Wind3.9 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0
19	James Wood (L) ³	63	-7.7	●	Connelly Early (LHP) WSH @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%15.8% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffRanger Suarez Exit Velo113.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance441 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.03 IP739.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Fenway Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62.5°F Wind1.0 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note62°F, wind 1 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0
20	Mookie Betts (R) ³	62	-7.0	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffRon Marinaccio Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance402 ft StadiumPetco Park	●●●○○	0.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.45 FIP4.80 IP786.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR NoteUnknown stadium
21	Freddie Freeman (L) ²	62	-9.0	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffZebby Matthews Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle32.0° Distance423 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.45 FIP4.80 IP786.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	62	-7.9	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance411 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○●○○	1.0×	·	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.45 FIP5.05 IP733.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-30 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.8°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +1
23	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	62	-7.0	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) TB @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	●○○○○	0.8×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.13 FIP4.07 IP755.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
24	Junior Caminero (R) ³	62	-15.6	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) TB @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo113.5 mph Angle29.0° Distance463 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○●●●●	0.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.28 FIP4.62 IP752.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+59 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
25	Andrew Benintendi (L) ³	62	-4.8	●	Trey Gibson (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffBeck Way Exit Velo101.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance376 ft StadiumRate Field	○○●○○	0.5×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.12 IP755.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-37 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.2°F Wind3.4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
26	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	62	-13.1	●	JP Sears (LHP) SD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance409 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	2.3×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.15 IP745.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind5.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph S (cross) — modifier: +1
27	Shea Langeliers (R)	62	-20.0	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance430 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	2.2×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.05 FIP3.75 IP723.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteUnknown stadium
28	Elly De La Cruz (S) ²	62	-6.1	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffRobert Gasser Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle34.0° Distance412 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.53 IP740.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-30 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.8°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +1
29	Kody Clemens (L) ³	61	-9.8	●	Mike Burrows (RHP) MIN @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo104.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance399 ft StadiumTarget Field	○●○●○	0.2×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.35 FIP4.83 IP774.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.6°F Wind1.0 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
30	Ty France (R)	61	-9.2	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) SD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo98.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance372 ft StadiumPetco Park	○●●○○	0.4×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.8% HR/91.58 FIP4.82 IP764.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-2 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind5.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph S (cross) — modifier: +1

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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221 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▼ -0.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-29

26 HRs

30%

8 caught / 26 HRs

in top 50

#5 Hunter Goodman

35.4%

🟡

#19 Bryce Harper

38.8%

🔵

#31 Elly De La Cruz

20.6%

🟠

#33 Shohei Ohtani

26.9%

🟠

#38 Willson Contreras

18.8%

🟠

#39 Dominic Canzone

25.3%

🟠

#43 Brice Turang

12.1%

🟠

#47 Max Muncy

15.9%

🟠

Missed

James Wood Brandon Marsh Ketel Marte Zach Neto Cam Smith +13 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Junior Caminero ×4 Bryce Harper ×3 Hunter Goodman ×3 Joc Pederson ×3 Esmerlyn Valdez ×2

❄️ Cold

Juan Soto 0 of 7d Colson Montgomery 0 of 6d Ben Rice 0 of 6d Nick Kurtz 0 of 6d Shea Langeliers 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.2%

B 20.0%

C+ 15.8%

C 13.1%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-30

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.