LAA
@
9:40p
SEA
Stadium Conditions
T-Mobile Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.82×
Wind 5 mph cross
56°F
retractable
-7
5 mph · cross
66°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · slight_out
63°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
3 mph · cross
60°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
3 mph · cross
57°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.74
56°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 58 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 46 | 0.276 | 93.3 | 12.2% | 30.0% vs RHP | 396 | 17.2% | 30.0% | 29.4% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 51 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.243 | 90.9 | 12.7% | 35.0% vs RHP | 385 | 16.9% | 0.0% | 18.1% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.174 | 90.1 | 9.4% | 18.4% vs RHP | 410 | 16.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 40 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 150 | 0.164 | 91.4 | 8.4% | 21.2% vs RHP | 390 | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 40 | ⚪ D | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.148 | 87.9 | 10.4% | 14.0% vs RHP | 391 | 12.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 35 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.130 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 12.2% vs RHP | 385 | 9.9% | 23.1% | 7.6% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
J.P. Crawford ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.146 | · | 8.5% | 27.3% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 31 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 206 | 0.114 | 87.8 | 6.8% | 14.6% vs RHP | 390 | 9.2% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 33 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 50 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🔥 HOT | 82 | 0.217 | 89.9 | 10.0% | 21.7% vs RHP | 403 | 20.3% | 41.7% | 18.5% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Soler | 45 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.214 | 88.2 | 9.3% | 37.9% vs RHP | 398 | 15.9% | 33.3% | 21.4% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Lowe | 34 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 191 | 0.134 | 89.3 | 7.9% | 17.6% vs RHP | 388 | 10.6% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Jo Adell | 34 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.147 | 90.2 | 8.0% | 11.6% vs RHP | 412 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 203 | 0.150 | 87.6 | 8.0% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Vaughn Grissom ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.141 | 89.6 | 7.0% | 16.0% vs RHP | 396 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | +625 | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.114 | 86.6 | 8.9% | 13.8% vs RHP | 408 | 4.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Nolan Schanuel | 28 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 217 | 0.126 | 87.3 | 4.3% | 13.8% vs RHP | 372 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 35 |