2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs 1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs
LAA
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.82× Wind 5 mph cross 56°F retractable
-7
5 mph · cross
66°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · slight_out
63°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
3 mph · cross
60°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
3 mph · cross
57°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.74

56°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

José Soriano
José Soriano RHP
1.12 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.52 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 58 🟠 C +475 · 46 0.276 93.3 12.2% 30.0% vs RHP 396 17.2% 30.0% 29.4% 19
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 51 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 75 0.243 90.9 12.7% 35.0% vs RHP 385 16.9% 0.0% 18.1% 9
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 43 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 129 0.174 90.1 9.4% 18.4% vs RHP 410 16.9% 8.3% 8.2% 30
4 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 40 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 150 0.164 91.4 8.4% 21.2% vs RHP 390 9.5% 12.5% 10.8% 15
5 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 40 ⚪ D +350 🌤️ WARM 156 0.148 87.9 10.4% 14.0% vs RHP 391 12.9% 7.7% 8.7% 25
6 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 190 0.130 88.0 6.7% 12.2% vs RHP 385 9.9% 23.1% 7.6% 40
7 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.146 · 8.5% 27.3% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 35
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 31 ⚪ D +625 · 206 0.114 87.8 6.8% 14.6% vs RHP 390 9.2% 0.0% 7.8% 33
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo RHP
0.82 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.65 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Zach Neto Zach Neto 50 🟠 C +475 🔥 HOT 82 0.217 89.9 10.0% 21.7% vs RHP 403 20.3% 41.7% 18.5% 29
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 45 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 115 0.214 88.2 9.3% 37.9% vs RHP 398 15.9% 33.3% 21.4% 9
3 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 34 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 191 0.134 89.3 7.9% 17.6% vs RHP 388 10.6% 20.0% 11.0% 9
4 Jo Adell Jo Adell 34 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 193 0.147 90.2 8.0% 11.6% vs RHP 412 11.4% 8.3% 6.5% 33
5 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 32 ⚪ D · · 203 0.150 87.6 8.0% 11.1% vs RHP 386 8.3% 0.0% 6.6% 17
6 Vaughn Grissom Vaughn Grissom 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 207 0.141 89.6 7.0% 16.0% vs RHP 396 8.7% 0.0% 6.6% 18
7 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 31 ⚪ D +625 ❄ COLD 209 0.114 86.6 8.9% 13.8% vs RHP 408 4.4% 10.0% 6.0% 21
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 28 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 217 0.126 87.3 4.3% 13.8% vs RHP 372 8.8% 16.7% 7.0% 35
🏟️
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