MIA
@
8:40p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.14×
Wind 2 mph slight_out
61°F
open
-3
11 mph · in
80°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
8 mph · in
78°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
5 mph · in
76°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
4 mph · in
73°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
5 mph · in
70°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.03
61°F, wind 2 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 79 | 🟡 B | +210 | · | 2 | 0.295 | 91.4 | 15.4% | 38.8% vs RHP | 408 | 27.4% | 36.4% | 46.6% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 55 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 54 | 0.199 | 84.2 | 9.2% | 20.3% vs RHP | 406 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 23.8% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Kyle Karros | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 60 | 0.140 | 89.4 | 10.2% | 18.2% vs RHP | 400 | 8.1% | 25.0% | 21.6% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 52 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.181 | 84.6 | 8.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 411 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 50 | 🟠 C | +525 | ❄ COLD | 80 | 0.135 | 87.8 | 10.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 415 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.116 | 88.4 | 9.1% | 11.1% vs RHP | 425 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Edouard Julien | 46 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 113 | 0.101 | 91.5 | 9.8% | 11.1% vs RHP | 389 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.145 | 89.2 | 5.8% | 9.4% vs RHP | 415 | 1.6% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.092 | 87.5 | 4.1% | 4.3% vs RHP | 369 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 27 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.192 | 91.7 | 14.2% | 25.7% vs RHP | 391 | 12.5% | 30.0% | 29.3% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 59 | 🟠 C | +280 | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.193 | 90.6 | 11.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 401 | 8.8% | 18.2% | 27.6% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Heriberto Hernández | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 79 | 0.171 | 91.9 | 10.9% | 17.4% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 49 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.141 | 89.8 | 9.4% | 10.6% vs RHP | 404 | 7.3% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 119 | 0.132 | 87.1 | 8.0% | 4.4% vs RHP | 396 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 41 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.099 | 86.7 | 6.6% | 7.5% vs RHP | 379 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 177 | 0.100 | 87.1 | 4.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 24 |