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MIN
@
8:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.98×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
80°F
retractable
-1
12 mph · cross
89°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
11 mph · cross
87°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
10 mph · cross
85°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
9 mph · cross
84°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
9 mph · cross
83°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08
80°F, wind 1 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +220 | · | 10 | 0.317 | 90.6 | 12.3% | 32.3% vs RHP | 402 | 32.4% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | · | 29 | 0.242 | 92.7 | 10.2% | 20.8% vs RHP | 388 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 31.6% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 52 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 68 | 0.200 | 87.7 | 6.0% | 23.4% vs RHP | 367 | 17.1% | 25.0% | 23.6% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Royce Lewis | 50 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 83 | 0.154 | 88.9 | 10.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 397 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 47 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 104 | 0.148 | 89.4 | 8.9% | 19.4% vs RHP | 402 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.154 | 86.6 | 7.6% | 12.8% vs RHP | 406 | 5.9% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Caratini | 41 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.136 | 89.4 | 7.9% | 18.5% vs RHP | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 201 | 0.081 | 84.6 | 5.0% | 4.8% vs RHP | 369 | 2.8% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 202 | 0.076 | 86.8 | 4.3% | 4.2% vs RHP | 392 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 14 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 57 | 🟠 C | +205 | 🌧️ COOL | 47 | 0.297 | 94.4 | 14.5% | 25.0% vs RHP | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 53 | 🟠 C | +370 | ❄ COLD | 64 | 0.243 | 89.9 | 10.7% | 29.1% vs RHP | 390 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 114 | 0.144 | 89.4 | 11.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 414 | 12.8% | 27.3% | 9.7% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 41 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 144 | 0.169 | 87.0 | 8.6% | 19.3% vs RHP | 370 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.148 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 16.1% vs RHP | 388 | 8.1% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Brice Matthews | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 173 | 0.127 | 87.7 | 10.0% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Meyers | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.116 | 86.1 | 8.8% | 10.5% vs RHP | 400 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Altuve ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +425 | ❄ COLD | 186 | 0.147 | 85.3 | 8.7% | 25.0% vs RHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 215 | 0.110 | 86.0 | 4.2% | 11.1% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 12 |