DET
@
7:05p
NYY
Stadium Conditions
Yankee Stadium
First pitch 7:05p
· roof open
Park 1.22×
Wind 4 mph cross
71°F
open
+12
6 mph · out
82°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+10
4 mph · slight_out
81°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+11
6 mph · slight_out
79°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+10
8 mph · slight_out
78°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+9
10 mph · slight_out
76°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22
71°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.295 | 91.6 | 10.3% | 38.5% vs LHP | 390 | 24.0% | 23.1% | 37.2% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.253 | 86.8 | 9.5% | 40.0% vs LHP | 391 | 19.1% | 33.3% | 41.1% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 49 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.178 | 89.2 | 7.5% | 17.4% vs LHP | 379 | 11.7% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Wells | 40 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.087 | 89.1 | 6.8% | 7.7% vs LHP | 377 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Caballero | 39 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 161 | 0.140 | 84.2 | 5.0% | 36.4% vs LHP | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 29 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 11 | 0.291 | 90.4 | 8.8% | 31.5% vs RHP | 397 | 21.5% | 25.0% | 38.5% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 58 | 🟠 C | +330 | · | 43 | 0.243 | 90.7 | 8.0% | 26.1% vs RHP | 378 | 17.2% | 30.0% | 29.3% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 52 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.198 | 90.0 | 9.1% | 23.5% vs RHP | 392 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 17.0% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 47 | ⚪ D | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.148 | 91.8 | 8.8% | 13.0% vs RHP | 393 | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.135 | 87.4 | 5.9% | 9.7% vs RHP | 377 | 8.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 40 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.134 | 88.1 | 6.9% | 6.2% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Colt Keith | 40 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.124 | 88.7 | 6.6% | 10.2% vs RHP | 372 | 4.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry | 32 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.099 | 84.9 | 3.6% | 8.1% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 28 |