CWS
@
6:35p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 6:35p
· roof open
Park 1.23×
Wind 3 mph slight_out
68°F
open
+8
11 mph · cross
88°F
6:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
12 mph · cross
85°F
7:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
11 mph · cross
82°F
8:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
10 mph · slight_out
80°F
9:35p
Boost for HR environment
+9
9 mph · slight_out
78°F
10:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.23
68°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Miguel Vargas ⚡ | 71 | 🟡 B | +390 | · | 4 | 0.242 | 90.1 | 11.0% | 17.2% vs RHP | 390 | 22.7% | 25.0% | 39.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Colson Montgomery ⚡ | 70 | 🟡 B | +255 | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.248 | 89.7 | 10.9% | 25.5% vs RHP | 396 | 25.4% | 15.4% | 38.9% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Andrew Benintendi | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.193 | 89.8 | 9.4% | 19.2% vs RHP | 391 | 17.0% | 25.0% | 28.5% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Tristan Peters | 49 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.162 | 86.7 | 6.3% | 9.8% vs RHP | 369 | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Sam Antonacci | 49 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 91 | 0.120 | 87.9 | 7.7% | 11.8% vs RHP | 410 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Chase Meidroth | 44 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 122 | 0.112 | 87.6 | 6.2% | 12.1% vs RHP | 381 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Luisangel Acuna ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.035 | 89.3 | 6.1% | 8.3% vs RHP | 416 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 16 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +290 | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.224 | 94.2 | 10.0% | 30.8% vs RHP | 399 | 20.2% | 23.1% | 42.1% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | ❄ COLD | 35 | 0.198 | 91.2 | 9.6% | 26.8% vs RHP | 401 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 21.0% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 59 | 🟠 C | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.195 | 89.5 | 8.0% | 17.5% vs RHP | 388 | 18.3% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 58 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.181 | 91.9 | 8.7% | 11.1% vs RHP | 403 | 14.7% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Colton Cowser | 56 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.163 | 86.4 | 9.7% | 23.5% vs RHP | 417 | 17.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 55 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.195 | 89.3 | 8.2% | 15.6% vs RHP | 400 | 11.4% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.103 | 89.4 | 6.3% | 6.5% vs RHP | 393 | 5.9% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.124 | 87.3 | 5.7% | 9.4% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 24 |