2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Trey Gibson

Trey Gibson

RHP BAL
43 matchups scored · 6 game days
8
HRs allowed
18.6%
HR rate (pool)
21.5%
Overall HR/FB
6.2
FIP
5.05
xFIP
+1.15
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 90
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
90
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 90th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
87.2%
87.2%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 100.2 EV · 390 ft max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-08 · 1 HR 2026-06-13 · 3 HR 2026-06-19 · 2 HR 2026-06-24 · 1 HR 2026-06-30 · 1 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 4 HR 30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Trey Gibson.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard 25.4% 83.4 11.7° 1 +0.0
Slider Breaking 21.0% 87.1 4.1° 2 -0.4
Cutter Hard 19.2% 84.6 19.5° 0 +1.8
Fastball Hard 19.2% 81.9 32.0° 0 +0.8
Curveball Breaking 13.2% 93.6 4.3° 3 +5.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups43
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate18.6%
Pool HR/game day1.33
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB21.5% 90
HR/9
FIP6.2 94
xFIP5.05
FIP − xFIP+1.15 93
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed87.2%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 25.4% usage
+0.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches157
Slider
Breaking · 21.0% usage
-0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches130
Cutter
Hard · 19.2% usage
+1.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle19.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Fastball
Hard · 19.2% usage
+0.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle32.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Curveball
Breaking · 13.2% usage
+5.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against93.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Trey Gibson.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.2 EV · 390 ft 8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-30 Colson Montgomery #6 70 Camden Yards 109.1 29.0° 440
2026-06-24 Jorge Soler #22 65 Angel Stadium 95.6 28.0° 366
2026-06-19 Max Muncy #8 75 Dodger Stadium 101.8 30.0° 426
2026-06-19 Mookie Betts #52 57 Dodger Stadium 100.7 38.0° 378
2026-06-13 Gavin Sheets #24 66 Camden Yards 97.3 35.0° 355
2026-06-13 Manny Machado #34 62 Camden Yards 106.2 22.0° 429
2026-06-13 Jackson Merrill #60 55 Camden Yards 99.0 34.0° 372
2026-06-08 Josh Naylor #73 44 Camden Yards 92.3 31.0° 358
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-30 Camden Yards 6 1 109.1
2026-06-24 Angel Stadium 8 1 105.1
2026-06-19 Dodger Stadium 7 2 109.5
2026-06-13 Camden Yards 5 3 106.2
2026-06-08 Camden Yards 8 1 111.8
2026-05-27 Camden Yards 9 0 111.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Trey Gibson isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Trey Gibson's full pitcher profile is waiting

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43 more waiting in the on-deck circle
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