8
HRs allowed
18.6%
HR rate (pool)
21.5%
Overall HR/FB
6.2
FIP
5.05
xFIP
+1.15
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
11.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed
87.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 100.2 EV · 390 ft
max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 4 HR
30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Trey Gibson.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
25.4%
83.4
11.7°
1
-0.0
Slider Breaking
21.0%
87.1
4.1°
2
-0.4
Cutter Hard
19.2%
84.6
19.5°
0
+1.8
Fastball Hard
19.2%
81.9
32.0°
0
+0.8
Curveball Breaking
13.2%
93.6
4.3°
3
+5.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups43
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate18.6%
Pool HR/game day1.33
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB21.5% 89
HR/9—
FIP6.2 95
xFIP5.05
FIP − xFIP+1.15 93
Barrel% allowed11.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed87.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Sinker
Hard · 25.4% usage
-0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches157
Slider
Breaking · 21.0% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches130
Cutter
Hard · 19.2% usage
+1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle19.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Fastball
Hard · 19.2% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle32.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Curveball
Breaking · 13.2% usage
+5.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against93.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Trey Gibson.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.2 EV · 390 ft
8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-30
6
1
109.1
2026-06-24
8
1
105.1
2026-06-19
7
2
109.5
2026-06-13
5
3
106.2
2026-06-08
8
1
111.8
2026-05-27
9
0
111.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Trey Gibson isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Trey Gibson isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
28
5
18%
7
2
29%
8
1
12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Trey Gibson
How many home runs has Trey Gibson allowed this season?
Trey Gibson has allowed 8 home runs across 6 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Trey Gibson?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Trey Gibson include Colson Montgomery (1), Gavin Sheets (1), Jackson Merrill (1) and 5 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.