8
HRs allowed
18.6%
HR rate (pool)
21.5%
Overall HR/FB
6.2
FIP
5.05
xFIP
+1.15
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
90
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 90th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
87.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 100.2 EV · 390 ft
max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 4 HR
30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Trey Gibson.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
25.4%
83.4
11.7°
1
+0.0
Slider Breaking
21.0%
87.1
4.1°
2
-0.4
Cutter Hard
19.2%
84.6
19.5°
0
+1.8
Fastball Hard
19.2%
81.9
32.0°
0
+0.8
Curveball Breaking
13.2%
93.6
4.3°
3
+5.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups43
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate18.6%
Pool HR/game day1.33
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB21.5% 90
HR/9—
FIP6.2 94
xFIP5.05
FIP − xFIP+1.15 93
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed87.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 25.4% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches157
Slider
Breaking · 21.0% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches130
Cutter
Hard · 19.2% usage
+1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle19.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Fastball
Hard · 19.2% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle32.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Curveball
Breaking · 13.2% usage
+5.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against93.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Trey Gibson.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.2 EV · 390 ft
8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-30
6
1
109.1
2026-06-24
8
1
105.1
2026-06-19
7
2
109.5
2026-06-13
5
3
106.2
2026-06-08
8
1
111.8
2026-05-27
9
0
111.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Trey Gibson isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.