PIT
@
6:40p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.17×
Wind 3 mph out
69°F
open
+16
10 mph · out
87°F
6:40p
Strong boost for HR environment
+14
10 mph · out
85°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
9 mph · out
83°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+15
10 mph · out
80°F
9:40p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
10 mph · out
78°F
10:40p
Strong boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17
69°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 80 | 🟢 A | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.337 | 93.6 | 12.4% | 47.6% vs RHP | 404 | 27.3% | 33.3% | 42.8% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 70 | 🟡 B | +290 | · | 6 | 0.251 | 90.2 | 9.6% | 42.1% vs RHP | 400 | 22.5% | 38.5% | 41.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 59 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.185 | 89.9 | 7.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 394 | 14.3% | 38.5% | 26.5% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 92 | 0.154 | 89.2 | 7.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 393 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 46 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.131 | 89.7 | 5.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 385 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 43 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 130 | 0.101 | 88.7 | 6.2% | 13.3% vs RHP | 394 | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
J.T. Realmuto ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 148 | 0.119 | · | 6.2% | 17.9% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford | 37 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 175 | 0.094 | 87.0 | 2.9% | 6.9% vs RHP | 382 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 26 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.260 | 90.8 | 10.7% | 19.1% vs LHP | 392 | 18.1% | 25.0% | 28.2% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 55 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 55 | 0.185 | 91.4 | 9.6% | 27.8% vs LHP | 410 | 12.8% | 16.7% | 26.4% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 52 | 🟠 C | +950 | · | 69 | 0.187 | 89.7 | 7.7% | 18.8% vs LHP | 382 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 47 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🔥 HOT | 99 | 0.120 | 89.7 | 8.8% | 21.4% vs LHP | 413 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 17.5% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 46 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.139 | 87.6 | 8.7% | 11.1% vs LHP | 401 | 7.3% | 33.3% | 16.1% | 8 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 34 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 192 | 0.077 | 85.8 | 5.2% | 0.0% vs LHP | 403 | 4.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 210 | 0.052 | 83.7 | 3.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 410 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 32 |