CIN
@
7:40p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 6:40p
· roof retractable
Park 1.12×
Wind 6 mph in
80°F
retractable
-8
16 mph · in
84°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
15 mph · in
83°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
84°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
12 mph · in
85°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
11 mph · in
84°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24
80°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.263 | 92.7 | 11.0% | 36.6% vs RHP | 401 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 22.6% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.237 | 92.5 | 11.4% | 18.2% vs RHP | 397 | 18.6% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 56 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 51 | 0.163 | 92.5 | 11.2% | 27.3% vs RHP | 420 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 55 | 🟠 C | +625 | · | 57 | 0.189 | 90.8 | 9.0% | 26.8% vs RHP | 406 | 11.4% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 54 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🔥 HOT | 61 | 0.156 | 90.4 | 8.6% | 20.0% vs RHP | 419 | 12.0% | 27.3% | 18.3% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🔥 HOT | 111 | 0.132 | 88.8 | 8.0% | 13.6% vs RHP | 399 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 41 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.106 | 86.6 | 6.2% | 7.1% vs RHP | 383 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 37 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.090 | 86.2 | 4.7% | 6.2% vs RHP | 402 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.222 | 94.2 | 10.5% | 17.9% vs RHP | 394 | 16.1% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.191 | 89.5 | 10.4% | 17.4% vs RHP | 394 | 13.0% | 30.0% | 27.4% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.200 | 90.8 | 11.1% | 18.9% vs RHP | 393 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | ❄ COLD | 38 | 0.214 | 88.6 | 9.6% | 30.0% vs RHP | 398 | 14.9% | 0.0% | 18.6% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Bleday | 58 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 42 | 0.265 | 89.4 | 9.1% | 29.4% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.1% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 51 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.141 | 91.1 | 9.4% | 16.2% vs RHP | 384 | 7.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 48 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.153 | 89.0 | 8.9% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 46 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.160 | 86.9 | 7.7% | 22.7% vs RHP | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Tj Friedl | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.084 | 88.2 | 4.5% | 7.7% vs RHP | 364 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 4 |