2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs 1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs
CIN
@ 7:40p
MIL
American Family Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

American Family Field

First pitch 6:40p · roof retractable
Park 1.12× Wind 6 mph in 80°F retractable
-8
16 mph · in
84°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
15 mph · in
83°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
84°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
12 mph · in
85°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
11 mph · in
84°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24

80°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder RHP
1.03 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.09 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 65 🔵 C+ +330 🌧️ COOL 15 0.263 92.7 11.0% 36.6% vs RHP 401 19.0% 9.1% 22.6% 19
2 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 62 🔵 C+ +350 🌧️ COOL 22 0.237 92.5 11.4% 18.2% vs RHP 397 18.6% 15.4% 17.1% 38
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 56 🟠 C +525 · 51 0.163 92.5 11.2% 27.3% vs RHP 420 8.3% 20.0% 21.8% 22
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 55 🟠 C +625 · 57 0.189 90.8 9.0% 26.8% vs RHP 406 11.4% 15.4% 14.9% 33
5 William Contreras William Contreras 54 🟠 C +425 🔥 HOT 61 0.156 90.4 8.6% 20.0% vs RHP 419 12.0% 27.3% 18.3% 30
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 46 ⚪ D +500 🔥 HOT 111 0.132 88.8 8.0% 13.6% vs RHP 399 6.5% 9.1% 8.9% 27
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 41 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 146 0.106 86.6 6.2% 7.1% vs RHP 383 5.1% 0.0% 8.0% 14
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 37 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 176 0.090 86.2 4.7% 6.2% vs RHP 402 3.0% 0.0% 7.9% 26
Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.63 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.98 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 62 🔵 C+ +390 🌧️ COOL 28 0.222 94.2 10.5% 17.9% vs RHP 394 16.1% 16.7% 16.9% 15
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 61 🔵 C+ +500 🌤️ WARM 31 0.191 89.5 10.4% 17.4% vs RHP 394 13.0% 30.0% 27.4% 23
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 60 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 34 0.200 90.8 11.1% 18.9% vs RHP 393 10.3% 16.7% 21.9% 32
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 60 🔵 C+ +575 ❄ COLD 38 0.214 88.6 9.6% 30.0% vs RHP 398 14.9% 0.0% 18.6% 15
5 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 58 🟠 C +400 ❄ COLD 42 0.265 89.4 9.1% 29.4% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 21.1% 22
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 51 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 76 0.141 91.1 9.4% 16.2% vs RHP 384 7.6% 12.5% 13.2% 18
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 48 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 95 0.153 89.0 8.9% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 10
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 46 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 105 0.160 86.9 7.7% 22.7% vs RHP 384 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 19
9 Tj Friedl Tj Friedl 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.084 88.2 4.5% 7.7% vs RHP 364 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 4
🏟️
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