20
HRs allowed
10.6%
HR rate (pool)
21.1%
Overall HR/FB
5.68
FIP
4.47
xFIP
+1.21
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
88
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 88th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
15.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed
68.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.6 EV · 404 ft
max EV allowed 116.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Sproat.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
26.2%
82.8
10.8°
3
+0.1
Fastball Hard
23.6%
84.1
30.1°
2
-0.3
Cutter Hard
21.3%
82.2
19.4°
5
+1.6
Sweeper Breaking
10.4%
80.6
16.0°
2
+1.6
Curveball Breaking
10.1%
82.8
-0.1°
5
+3.0
Changeup Offspeed
8.4%
81.4
-3.3°
0
-0.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups189
HRs allowed (pool)20
Pool HR rate10.6%
Pool HR/game day0.91
Top-15 matchups14
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB21.1% 88
HR/9—
FIP5.68 91
xFIP4.47
FIP − xFIP+1.21 94
Barrel% allowed15.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed68.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Sinker
Hard · 26.2% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches459
Fastball
Hard · 23.6% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle30.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches413
Cutter
Hard · 21.3% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle19.4°
HRs allowed5
Pitches374
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.4% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.6 mph
Avg launch angle16.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches183
Curveball
Breaking · 10.1% usage
+3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle-0.1°
HRs allowed5
Pitches177
Changeup
Offspeed · 8.4% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle-3.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches147
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Sproat.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
20 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.6 EV · 404 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-03
7
0
103.4
2026-07-27
8
0
101.0
2026-07-21
8
0
107.1
2026-07-11
9
1
109.2
2026-07-10
9
0
—
2026-07-05
8
0
116.8
2026-06-30
8
1
113.9
2026-06-23
8
0
112.6
2026-06-17
9
1
102.0
2026-06-10
8
2
108.2
2026-06-05
9
1
112.1
2026-05-30
9
2
115.1
2026-05-24
9
1
105.5
2026-05-18
9
1
108.6
2026-05-12
9
1
104.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Brandon Sproat isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Brandon Sproat isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
76
10
13%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
8
2
25%
18
1
6%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 12. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Brandon Sproat
How many home runs has Brandon Sproat allowed this season?
Brandon Sproat has allowed 20 home runs across 22 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Brandon Sproat?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Brandon Sproat include Adrian Del Castillo (1), Andy Pages (1), Carlos Cortes (1) and 17 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.