2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs 1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs
Andrew Benintendi

Andrew Benintendi

LHB
CWS · 53 appearances tracked
9
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
17.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
9.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.158
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#31
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.193
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
75th pctile
89.8
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
60th pctile
9.4%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
63th pctile
19.2% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
82th pctile
391
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
41th pctile
17.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
25.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
28.5%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
97th pctile
25
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 9 HRs in 53 games
Due (1×)
0.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
2
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
53
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
7
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
2
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
22%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#110.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
2 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-18 #47 Luis Severino Sutter Health Park · · · 102.1 mph 372.0 ft
2026-06-26 #37 Beck Way Rate Field L/R ⚠️ 101.0 mph 376 ft
All Appearances
53 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-28 #71 Luinder Avila L/R * 19.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-27 #68 Michael Wacha L/R * 18.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-26 #37 Steven Cruz L/R * 29.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-24 #52 Tanner Bibee L/R * 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #43 Gavin Williams L/R * 22.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #73 Keider Montero L/R * 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-20 #32 Troy Melton L/R * 25.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 #60 Gerrit Cole L/R * 19.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-14 #61 Emmet Sheehan · 18.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-13 #68 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 15.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-12 #59 Roki Sasaki · 16.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-09 #31 Grant Holmes · 18.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #42 Aaron Nola · 20.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #37 Andrew Painter · 18.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #117 Taj Bradley · 13.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-02 #98 Connor Prielipp · 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #98 Joe Ryan · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #154 Keider Montero · 7.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #209 Framber Valdez · 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-29 #142 Troy Melton · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #129 Joe Ryan · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #130 Zebby Matthews · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #187 Adrian Houser · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #174 Trevor McDonald · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #122 Emerson Hancock · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #131 Bryce Miller · 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #152 Bryan Woo · 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #105 Colin Rea · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #102 Jameson Taillon · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-15 #143 Edward Cabrera · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #126 Kris Bubic · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #192 Seth Lugo · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #181 Stephen Kolek · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #165 Logan Gilbert · 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #169 Luis Castillo · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #193 Emerson Hancock · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #164 Walbert Ureña · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-04 #126 José Soriano · 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #167 Griffin Canning · 9.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #164 Michael King · 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #110 Germán Márquez · 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #131 José Soriano · 11.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #54 Jack Kochanowicz · 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #86 Jake Irvin · 17.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-23 #66 Michael Soroka · 13.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-22 #159 Eduardo Rodriguez · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #112 Merrill Kelly · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #52 Jeffrey Springs · 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #47 Luis Severino · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-17 #52 Aaron Civale · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #91 Steven Matz · 6.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-14 #144 Shane McClanahan · 0.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #184 Brandon Sproat · 1.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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