Today · 2026-06-29

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Nick Kurtz vs Eric Lauer FIP 6.29 HR/FB 40.0% #4 Brandon Lowe vs Aaron Nola FIP 5.02 HR/FB 25.6% #9 Jackson Chourio vs Nick Lodolo FIP 5.78 HR/FB 22.9% #13 Tyler Soderstrom vs Eric Lauer FIP 6.29 HR/FB 40.0%

📦 STACK Eric Lauer FIP 6.29 HR/FB 40.0% → #1 Nick Kurtz, #6 Shea Langeliers, #13 Tyler Soderstrom

📦 STACK Ryan Weathers FIP 4.26 HR/FB 28.0% → #2 Dillon Dingler, #11 Kerry Carpenter

📦 STACK Nick Lodolo FIP 5.78 HR/FB 14.3% → #8 Jake Bauers, #9 Jackson Chourio

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-28. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Nick Kurtz (L) ³	77	-12.6	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	2.5×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.05 FIP3.74 IP714.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	74	-2.7	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.91 FIP3.63 IP741.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+15 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.1°F Wind4 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0
3	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	73	-14.9	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle37.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.98 FIP3.95 IP762.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind0.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
4	Brandon Lowe (L) ⁴	71	-10.6	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChase Burns Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance396 ft StadiumPNC Park	○●○●○	0.2×	1	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.18 FIP3.77 IP740.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind0.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
5	Hunter Goodman (R) ³	71	-10.6	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffKody Funderburk Exit Velo113.3 mph Angle22.0° Distance401 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○●●○	0.3×	1	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.94 FIP3.90 IP774.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SSE (out) — modifier: -1
6	Shea Langeliers (R) ³	71	-17.4	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance430 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.05 FIP3.74 IP714.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteUnknown stadium
7	Ben Rice (L) ²	68	-13.9	●	Casey Mize (RHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	3.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.93 IP762.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+39 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.1°F Wind4 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0
8	Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	68	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo109.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance428 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.00 IP726.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp70.3°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
9	Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	67	-5.6	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance411 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○●○	0.5×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.00 IP726.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp70.3°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
10	Kerry Carpenter (L) ³	66	·	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffKai-Wei Teng Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance390 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.91 FIP3.63 IP741.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+36 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.1°F Wind4 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0
11	Colson Montgomery (L) ⁴	66	-12.8	●	Shane Baz (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	4.5×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.06 FIP4.09 IP747.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-16 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.2°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
12	Tyler Soderstrom (L) ⁴	66	-5.9	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo102.4 mph Angle30.0° Distance402 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.05 FIP3.74 IP714.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Byron Buxton (R) ³	66	-18.2	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) MIN @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	2.5×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.34 FIP4.81 IP765.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81.8°F Wind6.0 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
14	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	65	-7.1	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffJakob Junis Exit Velo99.9 mph Angle35.0° Distance378 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○●●○○	1.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.03 FIP3.95 IP724.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
15	Pete Alonso (R) ²	65	-11.2	●	Sean Burke (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffZack Littell Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○●	0.0×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.11 FIP4.36 IP728.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.2°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
16	Miguel Vargas (R) ³	65	-8.2	●	Shane Baz (RHP) CWS @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffLuinder Avila Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance407 ft StadiumRate Field	●○●○●	0.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.06 FIP4.09 IP747.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+1 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.2°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
17	Owen Caissie (L)	64	·	●	COL Bullpen Proxy MIA @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	9	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffJose Corniell Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle28.0° Distance367 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	●○○○○	0.8×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.80 IP737.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SSE (out) — modifier: -1
18	Bryce Harper (L) ²	63	-10.1	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChristian Scott Exit Velo104.6 mph Angle31.0° Distance378 ft StadiumCiti Field	○●○●○	0.2×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.98 FIP3.95 IP762.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind0.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19	Ian Happ (S)	63	-14.4	●	SD Bullpen Proxy SD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	SHH vs ?HP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance381 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.16 IP736.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.3°F Wind6.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
20	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	62	-13.1	●	SD Bullpen Proxy SD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance409 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	2.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.16 IP736.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-54 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.3°F Wind6.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-54 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
21	Paul Goldschmidt (R) ³	62	-2.4	●	Casey Mize (RHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV86.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffTarik Skubal Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance427 ft StadiumComerica Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.93 IP762.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+17 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.1°F Wind4 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0
22	Ty France (R)	62	-7.9	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) SD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo98.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance372 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP752.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-32 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.3°F Wind6.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
23	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁵	61	-18.8	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	27d Last HR · 2026-06-02 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance363 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○○○	3.5×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.30 IP744.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81.8°F Wind6.0 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 2 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
24	Juan Soto (L) ²	61	-9.2	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) NYM @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP748.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
25	Spencer Steer (R) ⁴	60	-6.6	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffCraig Yoho Exit Velo103.5 mph Angle27.0° Distance400 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.93 FIP3.55 IP731.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-28 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp70.3°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
26	Bryan Reynolds (S) ²	60	-6.2	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffJuan Mejia Exit Velo107.0 mph Angle37.0° Distance433 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○○	1.2×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.18 FIP3.77 IP740.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind0.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
27	Elly De La Cruz (S) ⁵	60	-9.5	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	37d Last HR · 2026-05-23 OffAndre Pallante Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○○○	2.4×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.93 FIP3.55 IP731.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-13 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp70.3°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
28	Spencer Torkelson (R) ²	60	-9.5	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) DET @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-06-15 OffKai-Wei Teng Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle27.0° Distance372 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○○○	3.7×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.91 FIP3.63 IP741.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · Yankee Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.1°F Wind4 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0
29	Gavin Sheets (L)	59	·	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) SD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffYoshinobu Yamamoto Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle26.0° Distance414 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP752.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-60 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.3°F Wind6.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
30	Kyle Stowers (L)	59	-12.1	●	COL Bullpen Proxy MIA @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffLogan Webb Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle31.0° Distance426 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○○○○	0.9×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.80 IP737.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.0 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SSE (out) — modifier: -1

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.1%

▼ -3.1 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-28

22 HRs

36%

8 caught / 22 HRs

in top 50

#1 Kyle Schwarber

40.6%

🟡

#4 Pete Alonso

31.9%

🟡

#5 Junior Caminero

31.8%

🟡

#9 Joc Pederson

29.8%

🔵

#20 Kody Clemens

19.8%

🔵

#30 Jackson Holliday

28.2%

🟠

#43 Esmerlyn Valdez

26.9%

🟠

#46 Miguel Vargas

13.9%

🟠

Missed

Gary Sánchez Christian Walker Manny Machado Ryan Kreidler Ketel Marte +9 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Junior Caminero ×4 Joc Pederson ×3 Brandon Lowe ×2 Curtis Mead ×2 Bryce Harper ×2

❄️ Cold

James Wood 0 of 7d Juan Soto 0 of 7d Colson Montgomery 0 of 6d Corbin Carroll 0 of 6d Ben Rice 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.2%

B 20.0%

C+ 15.9%

C 13.0%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-29

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.