2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
TEX
@ 7:10p
CLE
Progressive Field · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Progressive Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 0.89× Wind 4 mph in 68°F open
-2
3 mph · cross
85°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
84°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
5 mph · cross
82°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
6 mph · in
80°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
6 mph · in
79°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89

68°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Parker Messick
Parker Messick LHP
0.83 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.08 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 71 0.220 92.1 8.8% 22.0% 391 19.0% 41.7% 20.3% 32
2 Corey Seager Corey Seager 45 ⚪ D +390 🌧️ COOL 102 0.196 91.0 10.5% 14.3% vs LHP 394 18.0% 33.3% 12.1% 5
3 Jake Burger Jake Burger 43 ⚪ D +500 · 109 0.196 90.2 8.4% 26.7% vs LHP 396 14.7% 16.7% 17.5% 30
4 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 39 ⚪ D +475 🔥 HOT 144 0.164 92.6 9.6% 5.9% vs LHP 411 9.1% 7.7% 7.1% 40
5 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 35 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 167 0.147 88.3 8.2% 33.3% vs LHP 397 9.1% 0.0% 10.4% 13
6 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 35 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 168 0.150 89.0 6.5% 16.7% vs LHP 377 9.8% 18.2% 10.0% 36
7 Evan Carter Evan Carter 34 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 177 0.140 88.0 7.0% 9.1% 368 10.9% 0.0% 8.0% 1
8 Josh Jung Josh Jung 32 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 184 0.138 90.1 6.4% 16.7% vs LHP 387 10.5% 0.0% 8.2% 36
Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander LHP
0.53 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.66 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Travis Bazzana Travis Bazzana 38 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 146 0.204 88.3 3.6% 15.4% vs LHP 395 12.8% 16.7% 17.0% 34
2 Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 37 ⚪ D +390 · 155 0.164 89.0 5.7% 11.1% vs LHP 388 11.0% 16.7% 11.0% 28
3 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.175 88.2 5.5% 17.6% vs LHP 378 11.3% 12.5% 9.3% 19
4 Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.139 87.7 4.5% 25.0% vs LHP 398 7.5% 14.3% 8.2% 19
5 Chase Delauter Chase Delauter 31 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 188 0.170 90.0 4.0% 0.0% vs LHP 376 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 4
6 Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio 26 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 195 0.125 86.4 2.7% 10.0% vs LHP 382 5.2% 0.0% 5.9% 40
7 Steven Kwan Steven Kwan 17 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 197 0.045 83.2 1.1% 0.0% vs LHP 381 1.4% 0.0% 4.9% 28
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