2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
LAA
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.82× Wind 5 mph in 56°F retractable
-9
4 mph · in
70°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · in
70°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
4 mph · in
69°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
5 mph · in
68°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
6 mph · in
66°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.74

56°F, wind 5 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.93 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.71 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 56 🟠 C +335 · 42 0.277 93.3 11.0% 30.8% vs RHP 396 15.9% 22.2% 25.4% 19
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 51 🟠 C +425 🌤️ WARM 64 0.243 90.9 11.5% 35.0% vs RHP 385 17.2% 0.0% 15.5% 9
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.176 90.3 8.5% 18.9% vs RHP 410 17.2% 9.1% 10.1% 30
4 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 41 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 122 0.166 91.5 7.8% 19.4% vs RHP 390 9.6% 14.3% 12.9% 15
5 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 40 ⚪ D +280 🌤️ WARM 128 0.150 87.9 9.2% 14.6% vs RHP 391 13.1% 8.3% 7.7% 25
6 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 173 0.133 88.1 6.1% 12.5% vs RHP 385 8.8% 16.7% 6.7% 40
7 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 34 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 174 0.150 · 7.8% 27.3% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 35
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 32 ⚪ D +500 · 186 0.113 87.7 6.2% 15.2% vs RHP 390 9.4% 0.0% 6.8% 33
George Kirby
George Kirby RHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.28 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Zach Neto Zach Neto 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.219 89.8 9.2% 22.8% vs RHP 403 19.2% 33.3% 20.0% 31
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 46 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 96 0.214 88.2 8.6% 37.9% vs RHP 398 16.1% 40.0% 22.6% 9
3 Jo Adell Jo Adell 35 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 172 0.149 90.2 7.4% 12.2% vs RHP 412 11.5% 8.3% 7.0% 37
4 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 33 ⚪ D · · 180 0.152 87.5 7.4% 11.1% vs RHP 386 8.5% 0.0% 7.0% 19
5 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 33 ⚪ D +625 🔥 HOT 181 0.116 89.1 6.9% 16.1% vs RHP 384 10.9% 25.0% 10.6% 9
6 Vaughn Grissom Vaughn Grissom 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.144 89.6 6.6% 16.7% vs RHP 396 9.1% 0.0% 7.2% 18
7 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 31 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 189 0.114 86.6 8.3% 14.3% vs RHP 408 4.5% 10.0% 6.4% 25
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 29 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 191 0.129 87.3 4.0% 14.8% vs RHP 372 9.0% 16.7% 6.4% 39
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