LAA
@
9:40p
SEA
Stadium Conditions
T-Mobile Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.82×
Wind 5 mph in
56°F
retractable
-9
4 mph · in
70°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · in
70°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
4 mph · in
69°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
5 mph · in
68°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
6 mph · in
66°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.74
56°F, wind 5 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 56 | 🟠 C | +335 | · | 42 | 0.277 | 93.3 | 11.0% | 30.8% vs RHP | 396 | 15.9% | 22.2% | 25.4% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley ⚡ | 51 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.243 | 90.9 | 11.5% | 35.0% vs RHP | 385 | 17.2% | 0.0% | 15.5% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.176 | 90.3 | 8.5% | 18.9% vs RHP | 410 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 41 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 122 | 0.166 | 91.5 | 7.8% | 19.4% vs RHP | 390 | 9.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 40 | ⚪ D | +280 | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.150 | 87.9 | 9.2% | 14.6% vs RHP | 391 | 13.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 35 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.133 | 88.1 | 6.1% | 12.5% vs RHP | 385 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
J.P. Crawford ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.150 | · | 7.8% | 27.3% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 186 | 0.113 | 87.7 | 6.2% | 15.2% vs RHP | 390 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 33 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.219 | 89.8 | 9.2% | 22.8% vs RHP | 403 | 19.2% | 33.3% | 20.0% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Soler | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.214 | 88.2 | 8.6% | 37.9% vs RHP | 398 | 16.1% | 40.0% | 22.6% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Jo Adell | 35 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.149 | 90.2 | 7.4% | 12.2% vs RHP | 412 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 180 | 0.152 | 87.5 | 7.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Lowe | 33 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🔥 HOT | 181 | 0.116 | 89.1 | 6.9% | 16.1% vs RHP | 384 | 10.9% | 25.0% | 10.6% | 9 |
| 6 |
|
Vaughn Grissom ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.144 | 89.6 | 6.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 396 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 189 | 0.114 | 86.6 | 8.3% | 14.3% vs RHP | 408 | 4.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Nolan Schanuel ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.129 | 87.3 | 4.0% | 14.8% vs RHP | 372 | 9.0% | 16.7% | 6.4% | 39 |