2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Mookie Betts 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs · 10 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
PIT
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.16× Wind 1 mph slight_out 67°F open
+10
9 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
8 mph · slight_out
80°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
7 mph · slight_out
78°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+9
6 mph · slight_out
76°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+8
5 mph · slight_out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.16

67°F, wind 1 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft RHP
0.75 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.33 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 73 🟡 B +210 🌤️ WARM 3 0.332 93.4 10.2% 46.3% vs RHP 404 27.6% 33.3% 39.8% 25
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 63 🔵 C+ +305 · 18 0.254 90.1 8.0% 41.7% vs RHP 400 21.5% 30.8% 38.4% 40
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 52 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 57 0.185 89.9 6.6% 25.0% vs RHP 394 13.2% 30.8% 24.9% 35
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 104 0.156 89.2 6.1% 11.3% vs RHP 393 9.5% 7.7% 10.5% 38
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 40 ⚪ D +850 · 138 0.128 89.6 4.8% 16.7% vs RHP 385 10.5% 9.1% 8.6% 37
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 37 ⚪ D +750 · 157 0.103 88.8 5.0% 13.6% vs RHP 394 9.0% 0.0% 8.3% 38
7 J.T. Realmuto J.T. Realmuto 34 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 175 0.122 · 5.1% 18.5% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 30
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 33 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 178 0.097 86.9 2.4% 7.1% vs RHP 382 3.5% 0.0% 8.2% 30
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.95 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.11 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 71 🟡 B +265 🌤️ WARM 4 0.264 90.8 10.9% 25.4% vs RHP 392 18.3% 25.0% 36.1% 38
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 60 🔵 C+ +400 🌤️ WARM 26 0.186 91.4 9.8% 16.2% vs RHP 410 13.0% 16.7% 26.0% 33
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 55 🟠 C +425 🌤️ WARM 46 0.167 89.5 7.3% 19.5% vs RHP 378 17.0% 16.7% 21.3% 41
4 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 53 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 54 0.142 87.5 8.9% 22.2% vs RHP 401 7.5% 50.0% 20.6% 8
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 58 0.120 89.7 9.0% 14.8% vs RHP 413 9.2% 25.0% 17.4% 11
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 40 ⚪ D +850 · 133 0.078 85.8 5.3% 9.7% vs RHP 403 4.1% 9.1% 9.6% 32
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 159 0.052 83.7 3.5% 7.7% vs RHP 410 2.5% 0.0% 9.6% 36
🏟️
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