PIT
@
6:40p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.16×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
67°F
open
+10
9 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
8 mph · slight_out
80°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
7 mph · slight_out
78°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+9
6 mph · slight_out
76°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+8
5 mph · slight_out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.16
67°F, wind 1 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 73 | 🟡 B | +210 | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.332 | 93.4 | 10.2% | 46.3% vs RHP | 404 | 27.6% | 33.3% | 39.8% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | · | 18 | 0.254 | 90.1 | 8.0% | 41.7% vs RHP | 400 | 21.5% | 30.8% | 38.4% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 52 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.185 | 89.9 | 6.6% | 25.0% vs RHP | 394 | 13.2% | 30.8% | 24.9% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 44 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 104 | 0.156 | 89.2 | 6.1% | 11.3% vs RHP | 393 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 138 | 0.128 | 89.6 | 4.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 385 | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 37 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 157 | 0.103 | 88.8 | 5.0% | 13.6% vs RHP | 394 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
J.T. Realmuto ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 175 | 0.122 | · | 5.1% | 18.5% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford | 33 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 178 | 0.097 | 86.9 | 2.4% | 7.1% vs RHP | 382 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 30 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 71 | 🟡 B | +265 | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.264 | 90.8 | 10.9% | 25.4% vs RHP | 392 | 18.3% | 25.0% | 36.1% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.186 | 91.4 | 9.8% | 16.2% vs RHP | 410 | 13.0% | 16.7% | 26.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 55 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.167 | 89.5 | 7.3% | 19.5% vs RHP | 378 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 53 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.142 | 87.5 | 8.9% | 22.2% vs RHP | 401 | 7.5% | 50.0% | 20.6% | 8 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 58 | 0.120 | 89.7 | 9.0% | 14.8% vs RHP | 413 | 9.2% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 133 | 0.078 | 85.8 | 5.3% | 9.7% vs RHP | 403 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.052 | 83.7 | 3.5% | 7.7% vs RHP | 410 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 36 |