DET
@
7:05p
NYY
Stadium Conditions
Yankee Stadium
First pitch 7:05p
· roof open
Park 1.21×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
67°F
open
+14
9 mph · out
82°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+13
8 mph · slight_out
79°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+12
7 mph · slight_out
77°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+10
6 mph · slight_out
75°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+9
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.21
67°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 74 | 🟡 B | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.295 | 90.5 | 12.5% | 27.8% vs LHP | 397 | 21.8% | 25.0% | 39.6% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter ⚡ | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 10 | 0.247 | 90.8 | 11.4% | 21.1% | 378 | 17.2% | 27.3% | 35.0% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.189 | 89.9 | 12.7% | 6.7% vs LHP | 394 | 14.8% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 55 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.151 | 91.8 | 12.5% | 14.3% vs LHP | 393 | 9.6% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Colt Keith ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.122 | 88.8 | 9.4% | 8.1% | 372 | 4.3% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Vierling | 48 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 87 | 0.137 | 87.2 | 8.5% | 10.5% vs LHP | 377 | 8.9% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 47 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 90 | 0.135 | 88.1 | 9.8% | 10.0% vs LHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.085 | 84.7 | 5.2% | 4.2% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 31 |
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +235 | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.298 | 91.6 | 10.0% | 36.0% vs RHP | 390 | 24.3% | 25.0% | 28.8% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.255 | 86.9 | 9.1% | 23.1% vs RHP | 391 | 19.6% | 36.4% | 34.4% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 48 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.180 | 89.1 | 7.2% | 11.9% vs RHP | 379 | 11.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Wells | 39 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.089 | 89.4 | 6.6% | 12.0% vs RHP | 377 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Caballero | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 145 | 0.142 | 84.3 | 4.9% | 15.4% vs RHP | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 29 |