CIN
@
7:40p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 6:40p
· roof retractable
Park 1.14×
Wind 2 mph slight_out
70°F
retractable
+0
14 mph · cross
85°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
14 mph · cross
84°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
13 mph · cross
83°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
12 mph · cross
82°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
11 mph · cross
81°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.14
70°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.269 | 92.8 | 10.7% | 16.7% vs LHP | 401 | 19.3% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.241 | 92.4 | 11.1% | 50.0% vs LHP | 397 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 27.9% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 32 | 0.163 | 92.5 | 10.9% | 20.0% | 420 | 8.5% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
William Contreras ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🔥 HOT | 40 | 0.156 | 90.5 | 8.3% | 10.5% vs LHP | 419 | 12.2% | 30.0% | 19.2% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Turang | 57 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 41 | 0.191 | 91.0 | 8.8% | 12.5% vs LHP | 406 | 10.3% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 69 | 0.136 | 88.6 | 7.8% | 33.3% vs LHP | 399 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.106 | 86.4 | 6.0% | 6.0% | 383 | 5.2% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.091 | 86.1 | 4.6% | 12.5% vs LHP | 402 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Steer | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | · | 25 | 0.194 | 89.6 | 9.7% | 28.6% vs LHP | 394 | 13.2% | 30.0% | 28.8% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.224 | 94.3 | 9.9% | 35.3% vs LHP | 394 | 14.8% | 0.0% | 21.0% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 59 | 🟠 C | +330 | · | 31 | 0.200 | 90.8 | 10.2% | 35.7% vs LHP | 393 | 10.4% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Jj Bleday | 57 | 🟠 C | +400 | ❄ COLD | 38 | 0.270 | 89.4 | 8.5% | 23.1% vs LHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.9% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 43 | 0.215 | 88.8 | 8.9% | 23.7% | 398 | 14.9% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 49 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.138 | 90.8 | 8.8% | 7.7% vs LHP | 384 | 7.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 48 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.153 | 89.0 | 8.3% | 26.7% vs LHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.162 | 86.9 | 7.1% | 18.2% vs LHP | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.085 | 88.2 | 4.2% | 5.4% | 364 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 4 |