2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs 1 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 2 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 6 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 9 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs
TheHomeRuns.org action mode

Morning Wizard

2026-06-30 · 226 matchups scored

Step 1 of 9

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

LAD
ATH
LAD @ ATH Neutral 1.242
Sutter Health Park Park × 1.24 Unknown stadium
1.24×
· #9 Max Muncy ·
CIN
MIL
CIN @ MIL Wind in 1.238
American Family Field Park × 1.12 warm air · light wind in · retractable roof
1.12× 79.8°F 6.0 mph retractable
CWS
BAL
CWS @ BAL Wind out 1.230
Camden Yards Park × 1.23 mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
1.23× 68.2°F 3.4 mph open
DET
NYY
DET @ NYY Crosswind 1.219
Yankee Stadium Park × 1.22 mild air · light crosswind · roof open
1.22× 71.4°F 3.9 mph open
PIT
PHI
PIT @ PHI Wind out 1.170
Citizens Bank Park Park × 1.17 mild air · light wind out · roof open
1.17× 68.9°F 3.4 mph open
View full report →
Step 2 of 9
🎯

Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Jeffrey Springs ⚠️ High
22 HRs · 0.246 HR/IP · 19.5% HR/FB · 5.56 ERA
FIP 5.56 · xFIP 4.33 · Gap +1.23
View full report →
🧙‍♂️

The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

7 more steps in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.34 · build 535

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.