Today · 2026-06-24

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

244 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

12:10p

1:10p

🔥

2:10p

🔥

1:10p

🔥

1:07p

🔥

6:40p

🔥

6:40p

🔥

6:45p

🔥

7:07p

7:10p

6:40p

🔥

6:45p

5:40p

🔥

6:45p

Locks 0/6

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Kyle Schwarber vs Miles Mikolas FIP 5.5 HR/FB 21.1% #8 Willson Contreras vs Kyle Freeland FIP 5.02 HR/FB 22.8% #14 Zach Neto vs Trey Gibson FIP 5.69 HR/FB 25.0% #15 Bryce Harper vs Miles Mikolas FIP 5.5 HR/FB 21.1%

📦 STACK Miles Mikolas FIP 5.5 HR/FB 21.1% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #15 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Joe Ryan FIP 3.01 HR/FB 18.6% → #4 Shohei Ohtani, #10 Max Muncy

📦 STACK CHC Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.7 HR/FB 16.5% → #6 Juan Soto, #7 Juan Soto

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-23. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	80	-16.1	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance418 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●○○	0.7×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.77 IP737.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind2.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: -1
2	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ³	77	-3.6	●	Mike Burrows (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffHunter Brown Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle23.0° Distance388 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○●○●○	0.5×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.29 FIP4.78 IP716.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
3	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	75	-12.7	●	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffZebby Matthews Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance414 ft StadiumTarget Field	○●○●○	0.3×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.27 IP723.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+52 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp59.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note59°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: -1
4	Juan Soto (L)	74	·	●	CHC Bullpen Proxy CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.52 FIP4.70 IP702.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-3 Weather · Citi Field cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind8.0 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
5	Juan Soto (L)	74	·	●	CHC Bullpen Proxy CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.52 FIP4.70 IP702.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-3 Weather · Citi Field cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind8.0 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
6	James Wood (L) ²	73	-8.9	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.7% Avg EV95.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffEmerson Hancock Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance413 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.7×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP697.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind2.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: -1
7	Willson Contreras (R) ⁴	72	-11.1	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffNathan Eovaldi Exit Velo101.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance392 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.6×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.37 FIP4.80 IP703.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind3 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
8	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	71	-0.6	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffGrant Taylor Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle20.0° Distance384 ft StadiumComerica Park	○●●○○	0.7×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.91 FIP3.62 IP699.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-13 Weather · Comerica Park cold air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp54.4°F Wind1.9 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note54°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -2
9	Max Muncy (S)	71	-7.9	●	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-19 OffChase Silseth Exit Velo101.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance426 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	2.5×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.27 IP723.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+53 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp59.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note59°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: -1
10	Byron Buxton (R)	71	-5.4	●	Shohei Ohtani (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○●○●○	0.5×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.06 FIP3.71 IP682.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp59.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note59°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: -1
11	Colson Montgomery (L) ³	70	-9.8	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	2.5×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.00 IP720.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
12	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁴	70	-9.1	●	Ranger Suarez (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffEthan Roberts Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance417 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○○○○	1.3×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.13 IP684.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind3 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
13	Zach Neto (R) ²	69	-7.0	●	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	1:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo94.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance391 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○●○○	0.5×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.17 IP711.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-65 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind4.6 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0
14	Jake Bauers (L) ³	69	-8.5	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffAndrew Painter Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle19.0° Distance391 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.8×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.39 FIP5.02 IP693.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Great American Ball Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.7°F Wind3 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note58°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1
15	Jackson Chourio (R) ³	69	-8.5	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo100.2 mph Angle34.0° Distance366 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	3.0×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.39 FIP5.02 IP693.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Great American Ball Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.7°F Wind3 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note58°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1
16	Bryce Harper (L) ⁴	68	-7.9	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffAustin Warren Exit Velo108.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance390 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●○○	0.4×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.77 IP737.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind2.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: -1
17	Ben Rice (L) ⁴	68	-1.5	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	●○●○○	1.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.94 IP712.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-17 Weather · Comerica Park cold air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp54.4°F Wind1.9 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note54°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -2
18	Nick Kurtz (L) ⁴	68	-5.4	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○●○	0.5×	1	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp55.1°F Wind11.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note55°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19	Yordan Alvarez (L) ³	67	-10.7	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-06-02 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance363 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	●○○○○	2.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.01 IP705.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Drake Baldwin (L)	67	-4.8	●	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	5:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	39d Last HR · 2026-05-16 OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance421 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	7.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP701.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 4 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0
21	Pete Alonso (R)	66	-6.9	●	José Soriano (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	1:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffJonathan Hernández Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle34.0° Distance398 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●○●○○	0.5×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.11 FIP4.51 IP724.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-65 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind4.6 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0
22	Jorge Soler (R) ³	66	-5.0	●	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	1:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls2 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffRico Garcia Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle33.0° Distance391 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○○○●○	0.1×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.17 IP711.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-65 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind4.6 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0
23	Matt Olson (L)	66	-6.9	●	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	5:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffCionel Pérez Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle22.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	2.8×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP701.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 4 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0
24	Curtis Mead (R) ³	66	-0.6	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffSeth Johnson Exit Velo99.1 mph Angle28.0° Distance390 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP697.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind2.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph W (in) — modifier: -1
25	Christian Walker (R) ³	65	-5.3	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffNoah Cameron Exit Velo108.9 mph Angle20.0° Distance394 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	○○○○○	3.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.01 IP705.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	65	-4.0	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) KC @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	●●●○●	0.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.12 FIP4.08 IP707.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
27	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁵	63	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance409 ft StadiumCiti Field	○●○○●	0.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.92 IP663.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Citi Field cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind8.0 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
28	Shea Langeliers (R) ⁴	63	-6.7	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance430 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+50 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp55.1°F Wind11.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note55°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0
29	Jordan Walker (R)	62	-7.0	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffJustin Lawrence Exit Velo116.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance454 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	3.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.60 IP705.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Busch Stadium cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind5.5 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 5 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
30	Corbin Carroll (L) ⁵	61	-5.0	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffSam Aldegheri Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle38.0° Distance378 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	1.2×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP680.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Busch Stadium cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind5.5 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 5 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

You saw the full board yesterday

Tonight's full board is behind the wall - unlock all 150 picks + conviction tools. Six home runs to freedom.

Unlock all 150 picks + conviction tools Already have an account? Sign in

239 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

Lock your picks, track your hit rate, and analyze co-occurrence.

Upgrade to Unlock

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.8%

▼ -9.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-23

31 HRs

12%

4 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#11 Pete Crow-Armstrong

28.1%

🟡

#41 Wilyer Abreu

10.7%

🔵

#49 Owen Caissie

18.2%

🟠

#50 Jac Caglianone

17.2%

🟠

Missed

Junior Caminero Cam Smith Miguel Vargas Daulton Varsho Brandon Marsh +22 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

CJ Abrams ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Zach Neto ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Byron Buxton ×2

❄️ Cold

Matt Olson 0 of 8d Ian Happ 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d Drake Baldwin 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.4%

B 19.9%

C+ 15.9%

C 12.9%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-24

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.