Today · 2026-06-23

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Jackson Chourio vs Nick Lodolo FIP 6.25 HR/FB 24.2% #5 Juan Soto vs Edward Cabrera FIP 5.68 HR/FB 28.1% #9 Pete Alonso vs Ryan Johnson FIP 7.08 HR/FB 23.1% #11 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Kodai Senga FIP 6.91 HR/FB 27.3%

📦 STACK TOR Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.03 HR/FB 13.7% → #1 Yordan Alvarez, #12 Christian Walker

📦 STACK Nick Lodolo FIP 6.25 HR/FB 24.2% → #3 Jackson Chourio, #10 Jake Bauers

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Yordan Alvarez (L)	87	·	●	TOR Bullpen Proxy HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	4:07p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%18.8% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	21d Last HR · 2026-06-02 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance363 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	1.5×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.03 IP690.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
2	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	82	·	●	PJ Poulin (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance418 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●●○	0.3×	1	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.80 IP729.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.7°F Wind3 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
3	Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	77	-7.0	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo100.2 mph Angle34.0° Distance366 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	2.5×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.41 FIP5.06 IP683.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
4	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	76	-9.1	●	Edward Cabrera (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●○○○	1.0×	1	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.52 FIP4.70 IP702.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Citi Field mild air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind39.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1
5	Hunter Goodman (R) ³	75	-11.0	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffEthan Roberts Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance417 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.17 IP677.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.2°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
6	Willson Contreras (R) ²	75	-8.3	●	Sean Sullivan (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffNathan Eovaldi Exit Velo101.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance392 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.4×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.39 FIP4.80 IP694.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.2°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
7	Byron Buxton (R) ²	75	-11.8	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○●○●	0.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP3.70 IP679.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.0°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
8	Nick Kurtz (L) ³	75	-2.4	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.4°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1
9	Pete Alonso (R) ⁴	72	-8.5	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffJonathan Hernández Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle34.0° Distance398 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●○●○	0.2×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.10 FIP4.52 IP714.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind5.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
10	Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	72	-3.3	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffAndrew Painter Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle19.0° Distance391 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.41 FIP5.06 IP683.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
11	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	70	-6.8	●	Kodai Senga (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-20 OffLazaro Estrada Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle32.0° Distance400 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○●○○	0.7×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP662.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Citi Field mild air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind39.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1
12	Christian Walker (R)	70	·	●	TOR Bullpen Proxy HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	4:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffNoah Cameron Exit Velo108.9 mph Angle20.0° Distance394 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	○○○○○	2.7×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.03 IP690.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
13	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	70	-11.7	●	Kendry Rojas (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffZebby Matthews Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance414 ft StadiumTarget Field	●○●○●	0.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP714.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.0°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
14	Matt Olson (L)	69	-8.5	●	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffCionel Pérez Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle22.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	2.5×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP692.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind6.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
15	Mickey Moniak (L) ³	69	-8.5	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls1 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	41d Last HR · 2026-05-13 OffMitch Keller Exit Velo103.4 mph Angle31.0° Distance372 ft StadiumPNC Park	○○○○○	3.2×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.17 IP677.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.2°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
16	Ian Happ (S) ³	69	-3.8	●	Kodai Senga (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffReiver Sanmartin Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance404 ft StadiumOracle Park	○○○○○	2.0×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP662.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Citi Field mild air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind39.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1
17	Bryce Harper (L) ²	68	-5.1	●	PJ Poulin (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffAustin Warren Exit Velo108.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance390 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.80 IP729.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.7°F Wind3 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
18	Ben Rice (L) ²	68	-5.4	●	Casey Mize (RHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●○●○	0.5×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.99 FIP3.95 IP702.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+11 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0
19	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	68	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	4:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffHunter Brown Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle23.0° Distance388 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○●○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.29 FIP4.78 IP704.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Jj Bleday (L) ⁵	67	-7.6	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	○	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
21	Drake Baldwin (L)	67	-4.8	●	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	38d Last HR · 2026-05-16 OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance421 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	6.5×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP692.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind6.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
22	Elly De La Cruz ⁴	67	-6.6	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	31d Last HR · 2026-05-23 OffAndre Pallante Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○○○	1.4×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-31 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-31 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
23	James Wood (L) ³	66	-0.6	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV95.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffEmerson Hancock Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance413 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.3×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP686.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.7°F Wind3 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
24	Max Muncy (S) ⁴	66	-5.0	●	Kendry Rojas (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-19 OffChase Silseth Exit Velo101.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance426 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●○○○○	2.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP714.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-30 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.0°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
25	Shea Langeliers (R) ³	66	-7.9	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance430 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.4°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1
26	Dillon Dingler (R) ³	65	+0.3	●	Carlos Rodón (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffGrant Taylor Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle20.0° Distance384 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○●●○	0.3×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.91 FIP3.62 IP691.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+3 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0
27	Nathaniel Lowe (L) ⁵	65	-2.3	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	25d Last HR · 2026-05-29 OffGrant Holmes Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle30.0° Distance390 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○○○	4.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
28	Zach Neto (R)	64	-7.4	●	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo94.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance391 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○●○●○	0.2×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.19 IP702.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-45 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind5.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
29	Corbin Carroll (L) ⁵	63	-2.8	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffSam Aldegheri Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle38.0° Distance378 ft StadiumChase Field	●○○○○	1.0×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP671.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.3°F Wind4.7 mph E Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: +1
30	Sal Stewart (R) ⁴	63	-6.7	●	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-16 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo106.9 mph Angle26.0° Distance410 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○○○	0.5×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-29 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 227 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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222 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-22

14 HRs

21%

3 caught / 14 HRs

in top 50

#1 Byron Buxton

31.4%

🟢

#5 Shohei Ohtani

27.8%

🟡

#50 Freddie Freeman

13.7%

🟠

Missed

Kazuma Okamoto Jorge Soler Curtis Mead Manny Machado Coby Mayo +6 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Zach Neto ×4 CJ Abrams ×3 Ben Rice ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Kyle Schwarber ×3

❄️ Cold

Matt Olson 0 of 8d Drake Baldwin 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-23

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.