2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BOS
@ 6:40p
COL
Coors Field · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.12× Wind 3 mph slight_out 81°F open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · out
81°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
10 mph · out
79°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
9 mph · slight_out
77°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+4
8 mph · slight_out
73°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24

81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray RHP
1.10 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.45 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 75 🟡 B +245 · 5 0.278 90.9 10.7% 37.0% vs RHP 404 25.4% 25.0% 41.6% 34
2 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 69 🔵 C+ +305 ❄ COLD 15 0.311 89.6 9.9% 25.0% vs RHP 417 16.3% 0.0% 25.0% 1
3 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 49 ⚪ D +625 ❄ COLD 86 0.205 84.5 6.7% 22.6% vs RHP 406 0.0% 0.0% 27.5% 42
4 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 43 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 121 0.130 87.9 7.5% 16.7% vs RHP 422 5.7% 8.3% 10.7% 21
5 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 41 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 129 0.164 84.4 5.9% 15.6% vs RHP 418 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 29
6 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 41 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 131 0.151 89.2 4.4% 10.3% vs RHP 415 1.8% 12.5% 10.2% 28
7 Willi Castro Willi Castro 40 ⚪ D +625 · 141 0.116 88.7 6.3% 9.8% vs RHP 422 5.3% 8.3% 8.9% 40
8 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 38 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 153 0.099 91.4 7.2% 11.1% vs RHP 389 3.1% 0.0% 9.0% 23
9 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 31 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 184 0.098 87.8 3.1% 4.5% vs RHP 369 3.4% 0.0% 8.8% 22
Sean Sullivan
Sean Sullivan LHP
2.57 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.52 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 75 🟡 B +280 ❄ COLD 6 0.232 90.1 13.0% 31.2% vs LHP 402 19.4% 16.7% 29.2% 28
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 62 🔵 C+ +390 🌧️ COOL 34 0.166 89.9 11.2% 10.0% vs LHP 396 15.1% 16.7% 13.4% 30
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 60 🔵 C+ +350 · 40 0.162 89.8 10.9% 5.6% vs LHP 397 12.5% 18.2% 10.7% 34
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 52 🟠 C +425 ❄ COLD 72 0.174 86.4 5.8% 14.3% vs LHP 370 9.9% 16.7% 11.4% 38
5 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 45 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 109 0.139 85.3 3.1% 7.7% vs LHP 388 5.9% 27.3% 13.0% 34
🏟️
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