BOS
@
6:40p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.12×
Wind 3 mph slight_out
81°F
open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · out
81°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
10 mph · out
79°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
9 mph · slight_out
77°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+4
8 mph · slight_out
73°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24
81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 75 | 🟡 B | +245 | · | 5 | 0.278 | 90.9 | 10.7% | 37.0% vs RHP | 404 | 25.4% | 25.0% | 41.6% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | ❄ COLD | 15 | 0.311 | 89.6 | 9.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 417 | 16.3% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 1 |
| 3 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 49 | ⚪ D | +625 | ❄ COLD | 86 | 0.205 | 84.5 | 6.7% | 22.6% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.5% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 43 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.130 | 87.9 | 7.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 422 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 41 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 129 | 0.164 | 84.4 | 5.9% | 15.6% vs RHP | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 41 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.151 | 89.2 | 4.4% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 1.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Willi Castro | 40 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 141 | 0.116 | 88.7 | 6.3% | 9.8% vs RHP | 422 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Edouard Julien | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.099 | 91.4 | 7.2% | 11.1% vs RHP | 389 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.098 | 87.8 | 3.1% | 4.5% vs RHP | 369 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 22 |
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 75 | 🟡 B | +280 | ❄ COLD | 6 | 0.232 | 90.1 | 13.0% | 31.2% vs LHP | 402 | 19.4% | 16.7% | 29.2% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Jarren Duran | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.166 | 89.9 | 11.2% | 10.0% vs LHP | 396 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Wilyer Abreu ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | · | 40 | 0.162 | 89.8 | 10.9% | 5.6% vs LHP | 397 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 52 | 🟠 C | +425 | ❄ COLD | 72 | 0.174 | 86.4 | 5.8% | 14.3% vs LHP | 370 | 9.9% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Caleb Durbin ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.139 | 85.3 | 3.1% | 7.7% vs LHP | 388 | 5.9% | 27.3% | 13.0% | 34 |