BAL
@
6:38p
LAA
Stadium Conditions
Angel Stadium
First pitch 6:38p
· roof open
Park 1.02×
Wind 5 mph cross
79°F
open
-8
9 mph · in
78°F
6:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
9 mph · in
78°F
7:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
8 mph · in
76°F
8:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
75°F
9:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
6 mph · in
73°F
10:38p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.12
79°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 72 | 🟡 B | +280 | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.223 | 94.2 | 10.6% | 30.0% vs RHP | 397 | 20.5% | 38.5% | 31.0% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.205 | 89.6 | 8.8% | 18.5% vs RHP | 388 | 19.7% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.177 | 85.7 | 10.4% | 25.0% vs RHP | 417 | 18.9% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.172 | 91.4 | 9.6% | 12.5% vs RHP | 403 | 15.9% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 57 | 🟠 C | +330 | ❄ COLD | 52 | 0.188 | 91.4 | 10.2% | 23.7% vs RHP | 400 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 52 | 🟠 C | +575 | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.169 | 89.1 | 8.1% | 21.9% vs RHP | 391 | 10.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 41 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.098 | 89.8 | 7.0% | 6.8% vs RHP | 393 | 6.3% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.130 | 87.4 | 6.2% | 10.0% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 31 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.229 | 90.1 | 10.3% | 23.6% vs RHP | 403 | 20.3% | 30.8% | 26.8% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Soler | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +370 | 🔥 HOT | 39 | 0.203 | 88.0 | 9.8% | 38.5% vs RHP | 402 | 15.5% | 100.0% | 20.2% | 2 |
| 3 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 43 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 120 | 0.124 | 87.3 | 9.5% | 14.8% vs RHP | 408 | 4.7% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.158 | 87.7 | 8.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Vaughn Grissom | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 132 | 0.150 | 89.8 | 7.5% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Jo Adell | 41 | ⚪ D | +390 | ❄ COLD | 137 | 0.137 | 90.2 | 8.2% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Schanuel | 34 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 175 | 0.122 | 87.5 | 4.6% | 12.0% vs RHP | 369 | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 28 |