HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
·
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
9.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
19th pctile
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
·
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
7.01
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
98th pctile
7.53
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
·
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
0
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
3
Platoon Edge Bats
2
Same-Side Bats
0
Switch Hitters
2L / 3R
Listed Hands
3 of 5 listed batters have the platoon edge against a LHP.
Willson Contreras
Ceddanne Rafaela
Caleb Durbin
Today Context
1.12
Park Factor
3.0
Wind MPH · SW
13.6%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Coors Field
Roof open
81°F
Weather 1.0
BP FIP 4.80
Today's Threat Breakdown · 5 batters
BOS @ COL · 6:40p
| # | Batter | Platoon | Tier | Score | Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. | ISO | Context | BvP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
RvL
Edge
|
🟡 B | 75 | 31.2%vs LHP | 8.3%vs RHH | 0.232 |
Park 1.12
Wind 3.0 SW
Roof open
BP 13.6%
|
first look | |
| 34 |
LvL
Same
|
🔵 C+ | 62 | 10.0%vs LHP | 10.5%vs LHH | 0.166 |
Park 1.12
Wind 3.0 SW
Roof open
BP 13.6%
|
first look | |
| 40 |
LvL
Same
Splits
|
🔵 C+ | 60 | 5.6%vs LHP | 10.5%vs LHH | 0.162 |
Park 1.12
Wind 3.0 SW
Roof open
BP 13.6%
|
first look | |
| 72 |
RvL
Edge
|
🟠 C | 52 | 14.3%vs LHP | 8.3%vs RHH | 0.174 |
Park 1.12
Wind 3.0 SW
Roof open
BP 13.6%
|
first look | |
| 109 |
RvL
Edge
Splits
|
⚪ D | 45 | 7.7%vs LHP | 8.3%vs RHH | 0.139 |
Park 1.12
Wind 3.0 SW
Roof open
BP 13.6%
|
first look |
Coors Field
HRs Allowed
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 69 | 52.7% | +2.8 | 79.9 | 35.3° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 27 | 20.6% | +2.9 | 80.7 | 37.8° | 1 |
All Scored Matchups
No scored matchups yet.