3
HRs allowed
12.5%
HR rate (pool)
16.5%
Overall HR/FB
7.06
FIP
7.22
xFIP
-0.16
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
76
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 76th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.2 EV · 432 ft
max EV allowed 110.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Sean Sullivan.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
45.9%
83.0
33.1°
2
+3.1
Sweeper Breaking
17.5%
80.8
28.4°
1
+4.6
Changeup Offspeed
15.8%
79.4
36.0°
1
+2.9
Cutter Hard
15.0%
78.9
15.0°
0
-1.4
Sinker Hard
5.8%
80.8
21.7°
1
+5.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups24
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate12.5%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB16.5% 76
HR/9—
FIP7.06 98
xFIP7.22
FIP − xFIP-0.16 35
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Fastball
Hard · 45.9% usage
+3.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle33.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches189
Sweeper
Breaking · 17.5% usage
+4.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle28.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches72
Changeup
Offspeed · 15.8% usage
+2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.4 mph
Avg launch angle36.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches65
Cutter
Hard · 15.0% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.9 mph
Avg launch angle15.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches62
Sinker
Hard · 5.8% usage
+5.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle21.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches24
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Sean Sullivan.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 432 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-04
9
1
110.8
2026-06-29
7
1
109.3
2026-06-23
8
1
105.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Sean Sullivan isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Sean Sullivan isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
24
3
12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.