2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Great American Ball Park

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.07× Wind 4 mph in 79°F open
-3
7 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
7 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
6 mph · in
76°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
5 mph · in
75°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · in
73°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18

79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo LHP 💥 Meltdown
1.91 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.07 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 77 🟡 B +290 🌧️ COOL 3 0.243 92.2 11.2% 60.0% vs LHP 395 18.9% 36.4% 45.4% 41
2 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 72 🟡 B +390 🌤️ WARM 10 0.262 92.7 10.9% 16.7% vs LHP 399 19.2% 11.1% 19.5% 17
3 Gary Sanchez Gary Sanchez 59 🟠 C +320 · 41 0.227 88.5 9.6% 33.3% vs LHP 413 0.0% 0.0% 29.8% 14
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 58 🟠 C +625 · 43 0.195 91.0 9.3% 12.5% vs LHP 406 11.0% 9.1% 12.3% 27
5 William Contreras William Contreras 50 🟠 C +350 🌤️ WARM 85 0.144 90.4 8.2% 10.5% vs LHP 418 10.0% 9.1% 10.0% 35
6 Andrew Vaughn Andrew Vaughn 48 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 93 0.186 89.6 5.5% 20.0% vs LHP 412 5.9% 0.0% 14.7% 17
7 Blake Perkins Blake Perkins 45 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 108 0.095 86.3 6.7% 14.3% vs LHP 399 9.1% 25.0% 16.3% 9
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 30 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 189 0.049 87.6 5.3% 0.0% vs LHP 395 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 22
Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.77 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.07 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 67 🔵 C+ +320 🌧️ COOL 20 0.292 89.8 9.6% 32.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 35.0% 32
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 67 🔵 C+ +350 · 22 0.237 94.2 11.3% 19.4% vs RHP 394 16.1% 0.0% 22.3% 0
3 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 65 🔵 C+ +475 ❄ COLD 27 0.221 88.6 10.0% 32.1% vs RHP 398 15.9% 0.0% 18.7% 19
4 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 63 🔵 C+ +350 · 30 0.200 90.8 11.2% 18.8% vs RHP 395 9.7% 16.7% 19.1% 35
5 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 61 🔵 C+ +525 🌤️ WARM 36 0.193 88.3 7.0% 37.5% vs RHP 429 11.5% 33.3% 32.5% 27
6 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 47 ⚪ D +370 · 98 0.149 87.0 8.2% 23.8% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 22.0% 24
7 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 38 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 152 0.109 88.9 5.0% 10.0% vs RHP 381 3.7% 0.0% 9.6% 30
8 Jose Trevino Jose Trevino 35 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 170 0.080 84.3 4.5% 14.3% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 11
🏟️
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