CHC
@
7:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.94×
Wind 39 mph cross
70°F
open
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · slight_out
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · slight_out
67°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04
70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 76 | 🟡 B | +280 | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.266 | 93.3 | 13.9% | 33.3% vs RHP | 399 | 21.0% | 23.1% | 34.4% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 56 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 55 | 0.166 | 90.5 | 13.3% | 23.5% vs RHP | 401 | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 50 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.169 | 93.9 | 11.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 50 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 84 | 0.143 | 90.1 | 11.1% | 15.2% vs RHP | 399 | 9.7% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 49 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 91 | 0.132 | 90.4 | 14.4% | 18.2% vs RHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.119 | 90.4 | 9.7% | 8.3% vs RHP | 381 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Marcus Semien | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.132 | 86.1 | 10.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 391 | 10.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.088 | 88.9 | 9.8% | 9.1% vs RHP | 415 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 17 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 70 | 🟡 B | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 11 | 0.229 | 91.4 | 11.6% | 21.1% vs RHP | 393 | 19.5% | 38.5% | 28.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | ❄ COLD | 16 | 0.243 | 90.0 | 12.7% | 28.3% vs RHP | 403 | 22.4% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 52 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 70 | 0.176 | 89.4 | 10.1% | 24.2% vs RHP | 409 | 10.7% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 52 | 🟠 C | +425 | · | 71 | 0.154 | 88.4 | 11.6% | 13.0% vs RHP | 400 | 10.3% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.134 | 89.2 | 8.6% | 9.8% vs RHP | 396 | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.109 | 88.5 | 9.1% | 5.6% vs RHP | 421 | 6.0% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 41 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.132 | 87.9 | 7.5% | 17.0% vs RHP | 395 | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.093 | 85.8 | 3.6% | 4.8% vs RHP | 383 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 39 |