2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 0.94× Wind 39 mph cross 70°F open
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · slight_out
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · slight_out
67°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04

70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Edward Cabrera
Edward Cabrera RHP 🎯 Susceptible
2.19 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.75 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 76 🟡 B +280 🌧️ COOL 4 0.266 93.3 13.9% 33.3% vs RHP 399 21.0% 23.1% 34.4% 37
2 Jared Young Jared Young 56 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 55 0.166 90.5 13.3% 23.5% vs RHP 401 11.8% 11.1% 12.5% 28
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 50 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 80 0.169 93.9 11.9% 11.1% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 8
4 Carson Benge Carson Benge 50 🟠 C +525 🌧️ COOL 84 0.143 90.1 11.1% 15.2% vs RHP 399 9.7% 15.4% 11.0% 36
5 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 49 ⚪ D +500 · 91 0.132 90.4 14.4% 18.2% vs RHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 25
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 46 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 103 0.119 90.4 9.7% 8.3% vs RHP 381 8.0% 15.4% 13.0% 42
7 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 46 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 106 0.132 86.1 10.5% 16.7% vs RHP 391 10.7% 7.7% 10.3% 29
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 38 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 154 0.088 88.9 9.8% 9.1% vs RHP 415 4.3% 0.0% 8.2% 17
Kodai Senga
Kodai Senga RHP 💥 Meltdown
2.66 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +2.07 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 70 🟡 B +330 🌧️ COOL 11 0.229 91.4 11.6% 21.1% vs RHP 393 19.5% 38.5% 28.1% 35
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 69 🔵 C+ +400 ❄ COLD 16 0.243 90.0 12.7% 28.3% vs RHP 403 22.4% 15.4% 24.9% 31
3 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 52 🟠 C +475 · 70 0.176 89.4 10.1% 24.2% vs RHP 409 10.7% 8.3% 14.1% 25
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 52 🟠 C +425 · 71 0.154 88.4 11.6% 13.0% vs RHP 400 10.3% 15.4% 12.8% 32
5 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 44 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 115 0.134 89.2 8.6% 9.8% vs RHP 396 10.7% 7.7% 8.9% 25
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 43 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 119 0.109 88.5 9.1% 5.6% vs RHP 421 6.0% 18.2% 13.7% 16
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 41 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 133 0.132 87.9 7.5% 17.0% vs RHP 395 6.6% 7.7% 9.7% 35
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.093 85.8 3.6% 4.8% vs RHP 383 5.3% 0.0% 8.0% 39
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