2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 0.99× Wind 3 mph cross 70°F open
+3
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
4 mph · cross
72°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
71°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99

70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.

PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin LHP
1.17 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.09 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 82 🟢 A +900 · 2 0.348 93.2 15.3% 45.8% vs LHP 404 28.2% 33.3% 35.6% 28
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 68 🔵 C+ +305 🌤️ WARM 17 0.255 90.3 11.8% 12.0% vs LHP 401 20.5% 25.0% 25.2% 34
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 49 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 88 0.164 89.9 9.2% 15.4% vs LHP 391 11.4% 16.7% 14.6% 29
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 43 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 118 0.154 89.2 8.7% 12.5% vs LHP 392 8.8% 0.0% 9.4% 37
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 42 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 125 0.137 89.7 6.9% 14.8% vs LHP 385 11.3% 18.2% 8.3% 39
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 35 ⚪ D +525 ❄ COLD 169 0.106 88.8 7.2% 4.3% vs LHP 394 9.7% 0.0% 6.5% 29
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.099 86.8 3.6% 5.4% 382 3.8% 0.0% 7.2% 20
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo LHP
1.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.30 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 66 🔵 C+ +425 · 23 0.252 95.9 12.4% 29.4% vs LHP 408 26.7% 25.0% 36.6% 35
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 56 🟠 C +625 🌧️ COOL 53 0.225 88.5 8.4% 20.0% vs LHP 399 20.5% 33.3% 25.6% 31
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 49 ⚪ D +500 · 87 0.171 91.5 8.1% 22.2% vs LHP 415 23.8% 30.0% 19.4% 37
4 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 47 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 97 0.239 90.1 8.1% 17.6% vs LHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 31.3% 36
5 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 43 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 117 0.194 89.1 6.0% 20.0% vs LHP 378 16.0% 12.5% 13.1% 27
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 34 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 172 0.150 89.2 6.3% 5.9% vs LHP 391 9.6% 0.0% 8.2% 25
7 Andres Chaparro Andres Chaparro 27 ⚪ D +575 🔥 HOT 202 0.100 90.0 7.3% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 7
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 21 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 215 0.079 83.6 4.7% 2.8% 364 2.5% 0.0% 8.1% 15
9 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 9 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 227 0.044 84.5 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 27
🏟️
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