Slate · 2026-06-22

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2026-06-22

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Jackson Chourio vs Brady Singer FIP 6.22 HR/FB 28.6% #3 Jake Bauers vs Brady Singer FIP 6.22 HR/FB 26.1% #13 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Kodai Senga FIP 6.91 HR/FB 27.3%

📦 STACK Brady Singer FIP 6.22 HR/FB 28.6% → #2 Jackson Chourio, #3 Jake Bauers

📦 STACK Zebby Matthews FIP 4.77 HR/FB 14.3% → #5 Shohei Ohtani, #9 Max Muncy

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	85	-4.2	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟢 A	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.99 FIP3.60 IP669.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.8°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0	Byron Buxton — Home Run OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field
2	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁵	82	-4.8	Foster Griffin (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.80 IP721.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind5.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
3	·Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	81	·	Brady Singer (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.08 IP674.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77.7°F Wind19.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6
4	·Jake Bauers (L) ⁵	80	·	Brady Singer (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.08 IP674.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77.7°F Wind19.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6
5	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	76	+5.0	Zebby Matthews (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.26 IP706.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-8 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.8°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0	Shohei Ohtani — Home Run OffZebby Matthews Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance414 ft StadiumTarget Field
6	·Hunter Goodman (R) ³	75	-12.7	Jake Bennett (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.16 IP669.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.4°F Wind5.0 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +2
7	·Ben Rice (L) ⁴	75	·	Framber Valdez (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.97 IP691.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-5 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1
8	·Willson Contreras (R) ³	74	-3.6	Ryan Feltner (RHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.4×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.37 FIP4.79 IP688.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.4°F Wind5.0 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +2
9	·Max Muncy (S) ⁴	73	+1.4	Zebby Matthews (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls49 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.26 IP706.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-11 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.8°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
10	·Juan Soto (L) ⁴	73	·	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.52 FIP4.70 IP702.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.2°F Wind8.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1
11	·Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	73	·	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.91 FIP3.61 IP682.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-16 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1
12	·Colson Montgomery (L) ²	72	+4.6	Gavin Williams (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP704.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	72	·	Kodai Senga (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/90.99 FIP3.90 IP654.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.2°F Wind8.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1
14	·Yordan Alvarez (L) ³	71	+2.0	Dylan Cease (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.03 IP690.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
15	·Kody Clemens (L) ³	70	+4.0	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.99 FIP3.60 IP669.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.8°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
16	·Ian Happ (S) ³	70	·	Kodai Senga (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/90.99 FIP3.90 IP654.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.2°F Wind8.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1
17	·Matt Olson (L)	68	-7.3	Michael King (RHP) ATL @ SD · Petco Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.15 IP684.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Petco Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp74.3°F Wind10 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -3
18	·Bryce Harper (L) ³	68	-0.7	Foster Griffin (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.80 IP721.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind5.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
19	·Paul Goldschmidt (R) ⁴	68	·	Framber Valdez (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.97 IP691.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-16 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1
20	·Zach Neto (R) ³	67	-4.8	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.21 IP693.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.9°F Wind8.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 8 mph SW (in) — modifier: -1
21	·Ryan Ward (L) ³	67	·	Zebby Matthews (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	3	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.26 IP706.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-8 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.8°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
22	·Jordan Walker (R) ³	67	+3.1	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.61 IP693.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind1.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 1 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
23	·James Wood (L) ²	67	-4.8	Tim Mayza (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.79 IP677.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind5.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
24	·Jj Bleday (L) ⁴	65	·	Brandon Woodruff (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.57 IP677.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-21 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77.7°F Wind19.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6
25	·Brice Turang (L) ⁵	65	·	Brady Singer (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.08 IP674.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77.7°F Wind19.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6
26	·Alec Burleson (L) ⁴	64	+2.3	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.61 IP693.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind1.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 1 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
27	·Garrett Mitchell (L) ⁴	63	·	Brady Singer (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.08 IP674.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77.7°F Wind19.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6
28	·Royce Lewis (R) ²	63	+0.8	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.6×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.99 FIP3.60 IP669.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.8°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
29	·Pete Alonso (R) ³	63	-13.6	Sam Aldegheri (LHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.51 IP705.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.9°F Wind8.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 8 mph SW (in) — modifier: -1
30	·Kerry Carpenter (L) ²	63	·	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.91 FIP3.61 IP682.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-5 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind8.0 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 213 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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208 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-22

14 HRs

21%

3 caught / 14 HRs

in top 50

#1 Byron Buxton

31.4%

🟢

#5 Shohei Ohtani

27.8%

🟡

#50 Freddie Freeman

13.7%

🟠

Missed

Kazuma Okamoto Jorge Soler Curtis Mead Manny Machado Coby Mayo +6 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-22

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.