2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
LAD
@ 6:40p
MIN
Target Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Target Field

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.00× Wind 3 mph in 77°F open
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 1.00

77°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer LHP 💥 Meltdown
2.51 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.18 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 85 🟢 A +290 🌤️ WARM 1 0.335 90.9 14.4% 30.0% vs LHP 402 33.8% 50.0% 31.4% 37
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 70 🟡 B +700 🌧️ COOL 15 0.234 92.5 11.9% 23.1% vs LHP 388 13.9% 27.3% 30.7% 41
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 63 🔵 C+ +625 🌤️ WARM 28 0.167 88.6 11.9% 22.2% vs LHP 397 18.9% 33.3% 19.8% 36
4 Ryan Kreidler Ryan Kreidler 59 🟠 C +950 🔥 HOT 45 0.241 88.3 10.5% 19.0% 409 6.2% 0.0% 18.3% 18
5 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 56 🟠 C +950 🌧️ COOL 58 0.192 87.5 7.3% 18.2% vs LHP 371 15.9% 27.3% 18.1% 43
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 55 🟠 C +850 🌧️ COOL 63 0.149 89.6 10.6% 10.0% vs LHP 402 9.3% 30.0% 14.2% 38
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.144 86.2 8.8% 14.3% vs LHP 406 6.5% 22.2% 13.6% 34
8 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 45 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 115 0.134 89.0 8.9% 11.1% vs LHP 407 6.0% 0.0% 13.7% 22
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 34 ⚪ D +950 🔥 HOT 179 0.087 84.7 6.0% 5.0% vs LHP 369 3.1% 9.1% 7.2% 32
Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews RHP
1.69 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.54 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 76 🟡 B +650 🔥 HOT 5 0.255 93.7 13.9% 23.3% vs RHP 404 18.1% 50.0% 27.8% 21
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 73 🟡 B +525 🌧️ COOL 9 0.249 90.3 13.3% 29.1% vs RHP 408 19.5% 28.6% 28.9% 49
3 Ryan Ward Ryan Ward 67 🔵 C+ · · 21 0.283 89.3 10.5% 42.9% vs RHP 394 20.0% 0.0% 26.6% 15
4 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 58 🟠 C +525 🌧️ COOL 50 0.194 90.7 11.5% 17.3% vs RHP 393 13.7% 16.7% 13.7% 36
5 Andy Pages Andy Pages 57 🟠 C +575 ❄ COLD 55 0.209 89.4 10.0% 27.3% vs RHP 390 16.2% 8.3% 17.1% 39
6 Dalton Rushing Dalton Rushing 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.230 88.9 10.4% 41.2% vs RHP 396 7.7% 0.0% 18.3% 20
7 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 51 🟠 C +850 · 80 0.173 89.8 9.6% 16.2% vs RHP 385 8.6% 16.7% 12.5% 42
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 41 ⚪ D · · 143 0.135 88.9 7.7% 10.4% vs RHP 400 5.4% 8.3% 7.7% 31
🏟️
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