AZ
@
6:45p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 1 mph in
70°F
open
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83
70°F, wind 1 mph W (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 22 | 0.248 | 94.1 | 14.5% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.200 | 91.8 | 13.0% | 24.0% vs RHP | 405 | 17.8% | 41.7% | 21.6% | 45 |
| 3 |
|
Lars Nootbaar ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 96 | 0.177 | 94.4 | 12.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 123 | 0.163 | 89.8 | 10.5% | 17.2% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Nathan Church | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.143 | 85.9 | 12.1% | 23.8% vs RHP | 387 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.137 | 90.2 | 10.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Jimmy Crooks | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.139 | 91.3 | 10.5% | 12.5% vs RHP | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 188 | 0.083 | 87.5 | 7.4% | 10.0% vs RHP | 389 | 4.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 41 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 43 | 0.263 | 91.8 | 9.0% | 26.3% vs RHP | 406 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 25.1% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 44 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.189 | 91.5 | 8.2% | 15.2% vs RHP | 413 | 12.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Tommy Troy | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.147 | 84.6 | 8.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 374 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.159 | 85.4 | 6.1% | 16.2% vs RHP | 400 | 10.1% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 189 | 0.122 | 89.0 | 6.6% | 17.4% vs RHP | 396 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 8 |
| 6 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.109 | 87.4 | 4.2% | 8.6% vs RHP | 379 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Pavin Smith | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.060 | 87.1 | 6.4% | 9.1% vs RHP | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Tim Tawa | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.072 | 87.4 | 3.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 363 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 1 |