BOS
@
6:40p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.15×
Wind 5 mph cross
86°F
open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.38
86°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 75 | 🟡 B | +225 | · | 6 | 0.279 | 90.8 | 11.1% | 35.7% vs LHP | 404 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 32.8% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 50 | 🟠 C | +750 | ❄ COLD | 82 | 0.197 | 84.6 | 6.9% | 7.1% vs LHP | 406 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 46 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 106 | 0.169 | 84.5 | 6.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 418 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Karros | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.127 | 89.3 | 7.4% | 6.7% vs LHP | 404 | 7.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 43 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.130 | 87.9 | 7.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 422 | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 40 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 150 | 0.119 | 88.9 | 6.5% | 8.3% vs LHP | 422 | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Troy Johnston | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.151 | 89.1 | 4.5% | 6.7% vs LHP | 415 | 1.8% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Edouard Julien | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 161 | 0.101 | 91.3 | 7.3% | 9.7% | 389 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.099 | 87.7 | 3.3% | 28.6% vs LHP | 369 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 18 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 74 | 🟡 B | +370 | ❄ COLD | 8 | 0.235 | 90.0 | 11.7% | 36.7% vs RHP | 402 | 19.7% | 16.7% | 36.8% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Jarren Duran | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 32 | 0.169 | 90.0 | 10.8% | 37.9% vs RHP | 396 | 15.3% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Wilyer Abreu ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | +370 | · | 46 | 0.162 | 90.0 | 10.6% | 11.9% vs RHP | 397 | 12.7% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 55 | 🟠 C | +575 | ❄ COLD | 64 | 0.176 | 86.5 | 7.8% | 15.8% vs RHP | 370 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Caleb Durbin ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.135 | 85.3 | 5.7% | 17.4% vs RHP | 388 | 6.0% | 27.3% | 17.3% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 41 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.087 | 85.9 | 7.7% | 2.9% vs RHP | 388 | 3.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 153 | 0.082 | 91.0 | 7.8% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 170 | 0.097 | 88.6 | 4.0% | 3.6% vs RHP | 393 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 19 |