BAL
@
6:38p
LAA
Stadium Conditions
Angel Stadium
First pitch 6:38p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 8 mph in
78°F
open
-10
11 mph · in
79°F
6:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
11 mph · in
79°F
7:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
11 mph · in
79°F
8:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
11 mph · in
79°F
9:38p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
11 mph · in
79°F
10:38p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
78°F, wind 8 mph SW (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.223 | 90.0 | 11.2% | 23.5% vs RHP | 403 | 20.5% | 38.5% | 28.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Jose Siri | 58 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 47 | 0.250 | 87.7 | 11.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.0% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Denzer Guzman | 58 | 🟠 C | +625 | · | 49 | 0.174 | 88.7 | 9.9% | 0.0% vs RHP | 408 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 14.4% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Donovan Walton | 55 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 62 | 0.169 | 86.8 | 8.0% | 9.1% vs RHP | 393 | 33.3% | 100.0% | 17.0% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Jorge Soler | 54 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 66 | 0.203 | 87.9 | 10.4% | 36.0% vs RHP | 403 | 14.0% | 0.0% | 19.6% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 104 | 0.128 | 87.3 | 10.4% | 16.7% vs RHP | 408 | 4.8% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Jo Adell | 43 | ⚪ D | +425 | ❄ COLD | 129 | 0.139 | 90.3 | 9.0% | 10.8% vs RHP | 415 | 11.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Wade Meckler | 41 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.150 | 85.8 | 7.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 400 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Nolan Schanuel | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.123 | 87.4 | 5.1% | 12.5% vs RHP | 369 | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 24 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +255 | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.216 | 94.3 | 8.6% | 12.5% vs LHP | 397 | 20.8% | 38.5% | 16.2% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.205 | 89.7 | 7.3% | 58.3% vs LHP | 388 | 20.0% | 23.1% | 35.4% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 53 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 71 | 0.164 | 85.9 | 8.7% | 20.0% vs LHP | 417 | 19.4% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.190 | 91.4 | 8.4% | 16.7% vs LHP | 400 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | +290 | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.176 | 91.2 | 7.7% | 40.0% vs LHP | 407 | 14.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 48 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 94 | 0.169 | 89.3 | 6.7% | 16.7% vs LHP | 391 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 33 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 183 | 0.090 | 89.6 | 5.5% | 6.7% vs LHP | 387 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 184 | 0.123 | 87.4 | 5.2% | 0.0% vs LHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 32 |