2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
TheHomeRuns.org action mode

Morning Wizard

2026-06-22 · 213 matchups scored

Step 1 of 9

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

MIL
CIN
MIL @ CIN Wind out 1.806
Great American Ball Park Park × 1.13 warm air · strong wind out · roof open
1.13× 77.7°F 19.0 mph open
BOS
COL
BOS @ COL Crosswind 1.376
Coors Field Park × 1.15 hot air · light crosswind · roof open
1.15× 86.4°F 5.0 mph open
PHI
WSH
PHI @ WSH Crosswind 1.193
Nationals Park Park × 0.99 hot air · light crosswind · roof open
0.99× 87.7°F 5.0 mph open
HOU
TOR
HOU @ TOR Neutral 1.182
Rogers Centre Park × 1.18 neutral
1.18× 0 mph
KC
TB
KC @ TB Neutral 1.031
Tropicana Field Park × 1.03 neutral
1.03× 0 mph
View full report →
Step 2 of 9
🎯

Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Brady Singer ⚠️ High
18 HRs · 0.262 HR/IP · 24.7% HR/FB · 6.22 ERA
FIP 6.22 · xFIP 4.47 · Gap +1.75
View full report →
🧙‍♂️

The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

7 more steps in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 501

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.