2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
KC
@ 6:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 6:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.03× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.03

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.02 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.33 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 57 🟠 C · · 51 0.179 93.6 10.3% 25.0% vs RHP 416 13.4% 33.3% 24.7% 33
2 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.179 90.7 7.7% 17.6% vs RHP 381 14.5% 20.0% 15.1% 36
3 Michael Massey Michael Massey 47 ⚪ D · · 99 0.196 91.0 7.4% 11.5% vs RHP 398 9.1% 11.1% 13.5% 33
4 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.157 88.8 8.0% 17.0% vs RHP 394 15.5% 0.0% 9.8% 40
5 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 136 0.130 87.2 5.7% 18.2% vs RHP 413 15.0% 30.0% 14.1% 32
6 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 147 0.150 87.7 6.8% 8.3% vs RHP 399 8.7% 12.5% 8.3% 24
7 Maikel Garcia Maikel Garcia 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 186 0.113 90.1 5.8% 2.9% vs RHP 398 5.8% 0.0% 6.6% 23
8 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.091 88.6 6.5% 6.5% vs RHP 377 4.7% 0.0% 8.3% 36
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha RHP
1.02 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.20 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.202 93.0 8.9% 32.4% vs RHP 406 19.7% 8.3% 14.9% 29
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.182 90.9 8.7% 22.6% vs RHP 391 14.5% 9.1% 12.5% 36
3 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.157 89.4 6.0% 20.0% vs RHP 420 6.7% 25.0% 17.1% 20
4 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 135 0.175 90.6 7.2% 25.0% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 38
5 Jonny Deluca Jonny Deluca 37 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 160 0.154 86.0 5.9% 8.3% vs RHP 406 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 5
6 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 199 0.084 86.8 4.9% 5.6% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 14
7 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 201 0.088 88.8 3.2% 0.0% vs RHP 394 1.8% 11.1% 6.1% 30
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.075 86.3 3.0% 7.1% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 25
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 211 0.055 84.0 · 5.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 31
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