3
HRs allowed
3.8%
HR rate (pool)
11.0%
Overall HR/FB
3.85
FIP
4.32
xFIP
-0.47
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
33
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 33th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
62.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.9 EV · 398 ft
max EV allowed 113.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Woodruff.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
44.0%
81.4
35.6°
2
-2.5
Changeup Offspeed
21.3%
81.8
22.2°
0
-2.6
Sinker Hard
19.2%
84.8
22.1°
2
+0.6
Cutter Hard
10.3%
85.3
25.0°
1
+0.0
Curveball Breaking
4.4%
79.5
3.4°
0
-2.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups79
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate3.8%
Pool HR/game day0.33
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB11.0% 33
HR/9—
FIP3.85 41
xFIP4.32
FIP − xFIP-0.47 20
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed62.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 44.0% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle35.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches281
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.3% usage
-2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle22.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches136
Sinker
Hard · 19.2% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle22.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches123
Cutter
Hard · 10.3% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle25.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches66
Curveball
Breaking · 4.4% usage
-2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches28
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Woodruff.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.9 EV · 398 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-04
7
1
109.4
2026-06-28
9
0
103.9
2026-06-22
9
0
108.2
2026-04-30
9
0
108.2
2026-04-24
9
0
113.6
2026-04-18
9
0
104.2
2026-04-12
9
1
107.3
2026-04-06
9
0
101.8
2026-03-31
9
1
102.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Brandon Woodruff isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.