2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
HOU
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Rogers Centre

First pitch 7:07p · roof unknown
Park 1.18× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease RHP
0.58 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.11 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 71 🟡 B +575 · 14 0.304 94.5 9.4% 26.7% vs RHP 400 28.6% 0.0% 34.8% 38
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 62 🔵 C+ +850 🌧️ COOL 33 0.251 90.2 7.1% 30.0% vs RHP 390 21.3% 16.7% 22.9% 34
3 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.168 87.1 4.6% 17.2% vs RHP 388 9.7% 16.7% 19.3% 33
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 45 ⚪ D +950 · 116 0.172 86.9 5.6% 20.8% vs RHP 367 11.0% 9.1% 12.2% 29
5 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 43 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 124 0.163 86.0 5.9% 28.0% vs RHP 376 7.0% 0.0% 21.2% 28
6 Jake Meyers Jake Meyers 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 148 0.120 86.0 5.9% 11.1% vs RHP 400 9.7% 16.7% 8.2% 22
7 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 181 0.114 87.8 3.9% 11.8% vs RHP 380 4.3% 0.0% 10.4% 7
8 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 30 ⚪ D · · 193 0.084 89.1 4.9% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 18
Hunter Brown
Hunter Brown RHP
0.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.87 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 57 🟠 C +700 · 52 0.208 92.1 6.0% 28.9% vs RHP 401 17.2% 25.0% 22.6% 23
2 George Springer George Springer 48 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 90 0.176 88.4 4.5% 23.3% vs RHP 392 10.4% 27.3% 18.1% 31
3 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 93 0.183 91.0 5.2% 22.2% vs RHP 398 11.1% 14.3% 14.8% 15
4 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 45 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 117 0.157 86.0 4.0% 12.1% vs RHP 384 8.2% 50.0% 10.3% 2
5 Alejandro Kirk Alejandro Kirk 40 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 145 0.196 86.4 2.7% 28.6% vs RHP 394 5.9% 0.0% 12.6% 14
6 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 172 0.144 85.4 2.5% 8.3% vs RHP 374 9.7% 10.0% 7.1% 32
7 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 180 0.141 86.3 3.1% 14.3% vs RHP 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 22
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 200 0.100 86.2 1.5% 11.1% vs RHP 383 3.5% 9.1% 6.8% 31
🏟️
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