CHC
@
7:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 8 mph in
69°F
open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
69°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 10 | 0.271 | 93.3 | 12.4% | 16.0% vs LHP | 399 | 21.3% | 25.0% | 27.7% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.179 | 89.5 | 10.2% | 15.8% vs LHP | 410 | 12.3% | 33.3% | 19.8% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Carson Benge | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 100 | 0.133 | 90.1 | 9.9% | 25.0% vs LHP | 399 | 9.8% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.136 | 90.4 | 12.8% | 14.3% vs LHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 125 | 0.121 | 90.4 | 8.6% | 25.0% vs LHP | 381 | 8.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Marcus Semien | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.134 | 86.1 | 9.4% | 6.7% vs LHP | 391 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Zack Short | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 197 | 0.046 | 90.4 | 8.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 5 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.229 | 91.4 | 11.6% | 19.6% vs RHP | 393 | 19.7% | 41.7% | 28.8% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 70 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 16 | 0.243 | 90.0 | 12.7% | 28.9% vs RHP | 403 | 22.7% | 16.7% | 26.1% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Matt Shaw | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 59 | 0.192 | 86.9 | 7.8% | 15.4% vs RHP | 366 | 12.2% | 33.3% | 16.2% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 67 | 0.176 | 89.4 | 10.1% | 25.0% vs RHP | 409 | 10.9% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 68 | 0.154 | 88.4 | 11.6% | 13.2% vs RHP | 400 | 10.4% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.134 | 89.2 | 8.6% | 9.8% vs RHP | 396 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.109 | 88.5 | 9.1% | 5.6% vs RHP | 421 | 6.1% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 126 | 0.132 | 87.9 | 7.5% | 17.0% vs RHP | 395 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.093 | 85.8 | 3.6% | 4.8% vs RHP | 383 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 39 |