2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Great American Ball Park

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.13× Wind 19 mph out 78°F open
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.81

78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Brady Singer
Brady Singer RHP 🎯 Susceptible 💥 Meltdown
2.36 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.75 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 81 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 3 0.250 92.3 11.9% 20.5% vs RHP 395 19.4% 40.0% 36.2% 45
2 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 80 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.268 92.7 11.7% 36.8% vs RHP 399 19.6% 22.2% 41.6% 19
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 25 0.198 90.9 9.7% 29.7% vs RHP 406 11.1% 18.2% 25.1% 30
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 63 🔵 C+ · · 27 0.162 92.6 12.0% 27.8% vs RHP 422 7.3% 18.2% 21.6% 28
5 William Contreras William Contreras 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.137 90.4 8.8% 15.6% vs RHP 418 10.1% 18.2% 12.3% 37
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 52 🟠 C · · 75 0.144 88.3 8.3% 17.6% vs RHP 399 7.5% 10.0% 11.9% 33
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 141 0.098 86.2 6.7% 7.5% vs RHP 383 5.7% 0.0% 9.3% 17
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 166 0.089 85.9 4.6% 7.1% vs RHP 402 3.3% 0.0% 9.3% 22
9 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.049 87.5 5.7% 4.8% vs RHP 395 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 22
Brandon Woodruff
Brandon Woodruff RHP
1.23 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.57 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 65 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 24 0.297 89.7 9.2% 33.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 32.5% 34
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.196 89.4 10.3% 14.3% vs RHP 394 12.5% 27.3% 22.2% 24
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 61 🔵 C+ · · 36 0.203 90.8 10.8% 19.6% vs RHP 395 9.8% 16.7% 16.4% 36
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 60 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 38 0.226 88.6 9.6% 32.1% vs RHP 398 16.3% 0.0% 17.6% 19
5 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.189 87.9 6.8% 50.0% vs RHP 429 12.0% 37.5% 30.2% 28
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.131 90.6 9.3% 14.7% vs RHP 384 8.2% 12.5% 10.5% 17
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 103 0.157 88.8 8.8% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 21
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.153 86.9 8.0% 26.3% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 25
9 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 169 0.113 88.5 4.9% 11.8% vs RHP 381 3.8% 0.0% 8.5% 29
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