MIL
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.13×
Wind 19 mph out
78°F
open
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
7 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.81
78°F, wind 19 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +6. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 3 | 0.250 | 92.3 | 11.9% | 20.5% vs RHP | 395 | 19.4% | 40.0% | 36.2% | 45 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.268 | 92.7 | 11.7% | 36.8% vs RHP | 399 | 19.6% | 22.2% | 41.6% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 25 | 0.198 | 90.9 | 9.7% | 29.7% vs RHP | 406 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 25.1% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 27 | 0.162 | 92.6 | 12.0% | 27.8% vs RHP | 422 | 7.3% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.137 | 90.4 | 8.8% | 15.6% vs RHP | 418 | 10.1% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.144 | 88.3 | 8.3% | 17.6% vs RHP | 399 | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.098 | 86.2 | 6.7% | 7.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.089 | 85.9 | 4.6% | 7.1% vs RHP | 402 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.049 | 87.5 | 5.7% | 4.8% vs RHP | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 22 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 24 | 0.297 | 89.7 | 9.2% | 33.3% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.196 | 89.4 | 10.3% | 14.3% vs RHP | 394 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 22.2% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 36 | 0.203 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 19.6% vs RHP | 395 | 9.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 38 | 0.226 | 88.6 | 9.6% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 16.3% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.189 | 87.9 | 6.8% | 50.0% vs RHP | 429 | 12.0% | 37.5% | 30.2% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.131 | 90.6 | 9.3% | 14.7% vs RHP | 384 | 8.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 103 | 0.157 | 88.8 | 8.8% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.153 | 86.9 | 8.0% | 26.3% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Blake Dunn | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 169 | 0.113 | 88.5 | 4.9% | 11.8% vs RHP | 381 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 29 |