LongDong™ — PHI @ WSH

PHI

@ 6:45p

WSH

Nationals Park · 17 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open

Park 0.99× Wind 5 mph cross 88°F open

5 mph · slight_out

73°F

6:45p

Neutral for HR environment

5 mph · slight_out

73°F

7:45p

Neutral for HR environment

5 mph · slight_out

73°F

8:45p

Neutral for HR environment

5 mph · slight_out

73°F

9:45p

Neutral for HR environment

5 mph · slight_out

73°F

10:45p

Neutral for HR environment

⚪ Boost · Combined 1.19

88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Foster Griffin LHP

1.52 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.72 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Kyle Schwarber	82	🟢 A	+305	·	2	0.341	93.3	14.9%	40.9% vs LHP	404	28.6%	33.3%	32.6%	29
2	Bryce Harper ⚡	68	🔵 C+	+500	🌤️ WARM	18	0.244	90.4	11.5%	12.5% vs LHP	401	20.8%	25.0%	24.0%	32
3	Brandon Marsh	47	⚪ D	+950	❄ COLD	102	0.167	89.8	8.7%	8.3% vs LHP	393	10.1%	8.3%	9.1%	29
4	Edmundo Sosa	46	⚪ D	+750	❄ COLD	107	0.155	86.4	8.2%	37.5% vs LHP	398	11.1%	14.3%	14.4%	19
5	Bryson Stott	44	⚪ D	+1000	❄ COLD	122	0.156	89.3	8.4%	14.3% vs LHP	392	9.0%	0.0%	9.3%	38
6	Alec Bohm	43	⚪ D	+750	🌤️ WARM	134	0.139	89.6	6.7%	17.4% vs LHP	385	11.4%	18.2%	10.2%	39
7	Derek Hill	42	⚪ D	+950	❄ COLD	138	0.136	89.8	9.2%	36.4% vs LHP	406	6.2%	0.0%	11.8%	12
8	Trea Turner ⚡	36	⚪ D	+800	❄ COLD	174	0.107	88.7	7.0%	4.3% vs LHP	394	9.9%	0.0%	7.6%	31
9	Rafael Marchan	29	⚪ D	+950	❄ COLD	196	0.079	84.7	5.9%	20.0% vs LHP	377	0.0%	0.0%	12.0%	3

Tim Mayza LHP

1.06 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.52 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	James Wood	67	🔵 C+	+390	·	23	0.253	95.8	11.3%	31.2% vs LHP	408	27.1%	25.0%	31.0%	36
2	Curtis Mead	56	🟠 C	+625	🌧️ COOL	61	0.231	88.7	7.4%	21.7% vs LHP	400	18.4%	22.2%	23.3%	29
3	Dylan Crews	51	🟠 C	+475	·	81	0.168	91.1	7.5%	14.3% vs LHP	415	25.0%	33.3%	18.6%	34
4	Cj Abrams ⚡	47	⚪ D	+390	·	97	0.229	90.3	7.4%	12.5% vs LHP	389	0.0%	0.0%	23.3%	35
5	Keibert Ruiz	46	⚪ D	+700	🌧️ COOL	108	0.194	88.9	5.5%	20.0% vs LHP	378	16.7%	14.3%	13.7%	28
6	Daylen Lile	37	⚪ D	+700	🌧️ COOL	167	0.159	87.7	6.1%	0.0% vs LHP	403	8.6%	0.0%	7.6%	39
7	Jacob Young	36	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	173	0.150	89.2	5.8%	6.2% vs LHP	391	9.8%	0.0%	8.7%	22
8	Nasim Nunez	13	⚪ D	·	·	212	0.045	84.7	·	0.0% vs LHP	0	0.0%	0.0%	6.7%	26

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Nationals Park

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